July 14, 2019 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Shez a Grinder | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sweet Poison | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | A Royal Ace | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sharp Turn | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Coil and Strike | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ps Bettin On You | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dramatic Ride | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Champagne Honey | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | An Ocala Ten | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zapana’s Game | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Impeachment Ace | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dixie Doo Run Run | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Monceros | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Alfonso C | 2.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Contratto | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Baja Warrior | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | L’Aquila | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | We’re Still Here | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ginobili | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Silent Fury | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Old Trafford | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Edelman | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stay Legendary | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Unchanged | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | E Bradley Cooper | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gas Can | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Love and Hold | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sky Glory | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Caprivi Strip | 2.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | White Russian | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Muscle Head | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Zip the Monkey | 1.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | War Union | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I’m Amore | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stay Golden | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Saltarin | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lead Star | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tiz Toffee | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Princess Dorian | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gia Lula | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Baby Ice | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ruby Trust | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Meso | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Chatterman | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Competing | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fast Cotton | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Denman’s Call | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rick’s Dream | 2.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Executive Cat | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Appolina | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Runaway Luck | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Clochard Street | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Flying Flirt | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Magic At Midnight | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tip Tap Time | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bernardini’s Girl | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Maybell | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | So Gucci | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | B S Cyclotron | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sokudo | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Older Brother | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Love Your Life | 2.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Party Hostess | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cash Encounter | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Simply Charming | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Handsome John | 3.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dutt Bart | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.