July 14, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kosher Kontract | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Marco Island | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rumson Rally | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Itgot Grandma | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Unbridled Mesa | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bandito | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spicy Meatball | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Handicap)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Pugilist | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wildcat Cartridge | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pink Elephant | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shrove Tuesday | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sweeter Surprise | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jumpin’ Nancy | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fed Up Fired Up | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Justgimmeakiss | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Handicap)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Face of Victory | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | High Noon Rider | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | He’s One Wild Dude | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Minister’s Strike | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Swinging Star | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Papal Law | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dothat Dance | 4.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Willy d’Rocket | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Inchesky (IRE) | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Twixt S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Late Night Pow Wow | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shimmering Aspen | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cairenn | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Alter Moon | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Victory Rally | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stormologist | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Crimson Frost | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | So Innocent | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Regal Retort | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Yorkiepoo Princess | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Jameela S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Anna’s Bandit | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hailey’s Flip | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Elevated Vision | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dendrobia | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fear No Evil | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | A Great Time | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Magician’squestion | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ghoul’s Night Out | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Buff’s in Love | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Something Magical | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Monte Crista | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Ben’s Cat S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Phlash Phelps | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dirty | 1.60 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Oldies But Goodies | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Eastern Bay | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sonny Inspired | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Love You Much | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tempt Me Twice | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Street Copper | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Grandiflora | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Concern S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mind Control | 1.40 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gnarly Mo | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Compound It | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lexitonian | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mount Travers | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Captain Von Trapp | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Urn | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fact of War | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Still Dreaming | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Tappin Cat | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Follow the Dog | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Stormy Blues S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Introduced | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Karama | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ying Yue | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fionnbharr | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Change of Control | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Summering | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tide Storm | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Why Now | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Sexyama | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Freudian Finish | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ten Oaks Miss | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Never Enough Time | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Ellanation | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ravenel | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shake D Moon | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dixie’s Fascinator | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Trois Ponts | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Paris Lady | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Icantrumpthat | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Infinite Zest | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | La Silueta | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dancing Contessa | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.