July 13, 2019 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Blooming Hannah | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kennedie Sky | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Red Livy (IRE) | 1.80 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Winner’s Dream | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mixed Emotions | 1.60 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Elite Motion | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Benny the Jet | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fortnite Dance | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mike Operator | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Easy Way | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Irradiate | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Rocky’s Show | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Candy Zip | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | El Koreano | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | St. Reno | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Lady Krishna | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Winding | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Seven Oxen | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Temple Knights | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lorelei’s Warrior | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Class | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | L’Engineer | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Here I Go Indy | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | For Him | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hard Arch | 2.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jump the Tracks | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Asem | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Papa Caballero | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mi Maldito Amor | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lake Show | 10.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Los Alamitos Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Game Winner | 0.20 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kingly | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Parsimony | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Feeling Strong | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Satrapa | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Prodigal Son | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Runnin’withdadevil | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Swiss Minister | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Minoso | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tribal Roar | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ishi | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Square Deal | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Desert Swarm | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wicked Blue | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | El Chapin | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fly the Sky | 2.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bam Bam Again | 3.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | You’reright Again | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Capital Reef | 30.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zees Empire | 20.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Way Cool | 20.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.