July 13, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Resident Liberal | 1.20 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Glenn’s Caper | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Noble Lion | 2.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tappahannock | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Seany P | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sir Smarty | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tir Na Nog | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | What About Shorty | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Naughty Thoughts | 0.60 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Capture the Light | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Turide | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dublin Megan | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Paisley Singing | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sincerest Wishes | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Jump for Sally | 1.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kris d’Oro | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My T Talk | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Live Aid | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Super Annapola | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Buddha Kai | 30.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Smokin Hot Factor | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Excelisberg | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Benevolent Prince | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Available | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8A | 8 | Special Intention | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Electro | 2.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Top Hat City | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Totaled the Benz | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Offshore Trip | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Scrapple | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Lacrostix | 15.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
| 9A | 9 | Circle of Light | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Polished | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Family Tree (GB) | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | No Mans Land | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mokheef | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Partisan Divide | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Uhwarrie Sky | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kopper Wired | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Real Factor | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Nevisian Sunset | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Artful Splatter | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Neetee Rides Again | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Midnight Crossing | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | War Tweet | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lulu’s On the Move | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Belle Saison | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Witch | 6.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Arbutus | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Colton’s Horseplay | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Flirtation Walk | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Third Card Down | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Priss | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fifteen K | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Irish Lassie | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Weekend Flyer | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Manhattan Lady | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Carson’s Horseplay | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sheza Handfull | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Closer Look | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shamsaan | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | What a Run | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Vincent Van Gogo | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Paratycachaca | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Frathouse Music | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Charmn Charlie Ray | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 4A | 4 | No Fly Zone | 4.50 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Itgot Grandma | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Kosher Kontract | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10A | 10 | Tattered | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Calamity Kat | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dynastic | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Yes Means No | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Burning Man | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sky D | 2.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Village Prince | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Watchmeneighneigh | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Charismatic Blue | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mice and Men | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Optical Illusion | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.