July 13, 2019 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 2 | R Sweet Exchange | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
5 | 3 | Pattin for a Dance | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
6B | 4 | Bearsatlanticmist | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
8A | 6 | Dancing Cool | 2.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
3A | 1 | Given Achance | 2.50 | 8 | 15-1 | |
7B | 5 | Scoreearlyandoften | 3.50 | 8 | 15-1 | |
1 | 1 | Cowgirl Chick | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
2 | 2 | Earned the Shot | 8.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 3 | Shifra Magician | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
2 | 1 | Lovely Sunset | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
8 | 4 | She’s Right Again | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
3A | 2 | Checkbouncin Billy | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
9 | 5 | Bella Pierina | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
1 | 1 | Wicked Fun | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
4 | 4 | Lady Terp | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
5A | 5 | Princess Palomar | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
7 | 7 | All Good Times | 8.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Scoreswhenhewants | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
7 | 6 | Zipman | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
4 | 4 | The Mo U No | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
3 | 3 | Hardredcandy | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
5 | 5 | Veneer of Charm (IRE) | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
2 | 2 | Good as Money | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
6 | 6 | The Stifler | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
8 | 8 | Smithwick’s Spice | 8.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Dashing Beauty S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Ms Locust Point | 1.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
2 | 2 | Bronx Beauty | 1.20 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
1 | 1 | Le Weekend | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
4 | 4 | Last True Love | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
5 | 5 | Yorkiepoo Princess | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Just A Kiss S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | 6 | Monte Crista | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
5 | 3 | Lift Up | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
9 | 7 | Capla Temptress (IRE) | 1.60 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
7 | 5 | Drop Dead Red | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
4 | 2 | Quick Witted | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
6 | 4 | Good Roll | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
2 | 1 | Unbridled Escape | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
1 | 1 | Goiaba | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
3 | 3 | Dynatail | 4.50 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Hockessin S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 1 | Altissimo | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
5 | 4 | No Dozing | 1.60 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
4 | 3 | Always Sunshine | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
3 | 2 | Arthur’s Hope | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
1 | 1 | Colonel Sharp | 3.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Glasgow S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 4 | Parlor | 1.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
7 | 5 | O Dionysus | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
4 | 2 | Completed Pass | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
9 | 7 | Abiding Star | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
8 | 6 | Square Shooter | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
10 | 8 | Celebration (GB) | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
5 | 3 | Paret (AUS) | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
1 | 1 | No Bull Addiction | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
2 | 2 | Fact of War | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
3 | 3 | Ballivor | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
11 | 11 | Just Howard | 5.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Delaware H.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | Elate | 1.40 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
3 | 3 | Escape Clause | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
6 | 6 | Blue Prize (ARG) | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
2 | 2 | Gotham Gala | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
5 | 5 | Promise of Spring | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
1 | 1 | Another Broad | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
9 | 9 | Goodonehoney | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
4 | 4 | Queen Nekia | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
8 | 8 | Vente to Go | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Bob Magness Memorial Arabian Derby
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | RB TEXAS HOLD EM | 1.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
1 | 1 | BIG ZELL | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
3 | 3 | UPTOWN CRUISEDIRECTOR | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
4 | 4 | RISKY TIDE | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
2A | 2 | DANCE WITH ME BW | 1.40 | 7 | 13-1 | |
6A | 6 | RB RICH LYKE ME | 1.40 | SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.