July 12, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Tachyon | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Conquest Bandit | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lunar Image | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hunca Rock | 2.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I’ve Gotta Plan | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | The Mason Factor | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jericho Marsh | 5.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Whiskey Dreamin | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Crypto Currency | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Bond | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Big Boots | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hello Amigo | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bayano | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Masai Man | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Power Back | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fernwood Drive | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Casper Slew | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Into Bluegrass | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Roman Holiday | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cherokee Sky | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Princess Killmain | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Missimard | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Caterina One | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Chiefs Kingdom | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | No Great Shakes | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Gold Man | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | In Arrears | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Uplifting | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tricky Lion | 1.80 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Whenthedovescry | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bustoff | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Fearless Terp | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Allaboutmike | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cousin Jimmy | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Unequivocal | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Don’t Poke the Cat | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Geyser | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | I Ain’t Never | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dashing Lou | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Street Copper | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bay Bridge | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hanalei’s Houdini | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Trifor Gold | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mr. d’Angelo | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bowsprit | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Barin | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Absolved | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pretty Good Year | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My Brothersledge | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Beltway Bob | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | No Knock Raid | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Seville Barber | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | A True Gentleman | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Earned It | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Poplar Avenue | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Glad Dad | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Top Czar | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Detroit Cowboy | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bobo Jones | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Down in the Holler | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Townie | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Wilko’s Goldeneye | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Disco Express | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Great Nation | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Zitarrosa | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Willie the Whale | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stacksdenero | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sing a Verse | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Creepy the Crab | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Aggregate | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Valley Cal | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Liar | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Picky Picky Picky | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.