Sports from the Basement

Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, July 11, 2019

July 11, 2019 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Enchanting Embrace 4.00 3.8 7-1
6 5 Hows My Gold 2.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 P J’s Memories 10.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Brave Dish 2.50 5.8 11-1
1 1 Wild Delilah 3.50 6.4 12-1
4 4 Southern Symphony 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Ekati Wildcat 3.00 1.6 3-1
5 4 Ferrari Road 20.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Bigshot Lacewell 4.00 4.5 8-1
6 5 Springtime Mojo 6.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Big Hearted Factor 4.50 6.3 12-1
3 3 Dynabeaver 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Silver Turns Gold 1.60 4.1 8-1
3 3 I’m Just Fancy 4.50 4.1 8-1
7 7 Fianna Hills 3.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Pandora’s Box 15.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Goldie Again 3.50 6.4 12-1
6 6 Kiss Me Lily 15.00 7 13-1
2 2 Morning Belle 15.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Banjo Bill 8.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Dance for Ransom 10.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 It Is Dejavu 1.80 3.6 7-1
1 1 Knocks Big Thirst 4.50 4.2 8-1
2 2 Air Power 5.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Added Attraction 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Hooked On a Hit 2.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Juliannas Treasure 8.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Boolean One 10.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Hippie Gem 2.50 5.7 11-1
6 6 Cholula Charlie 4.00 7 13-1
7 7 Fiery Blake 10.00 8 15-1
4 4 Mama of My Dreams 8.00 8.3 16-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Country Club Diner 0.80 3.1 6-1
1 1 Zip ‘n Sip 3.50 5.3 10-1
5 5 Just Due 12.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Academy Bay 10.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Smartified 8.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Bronco Dave 8.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Hot Blooded Song 10.00 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Blushing Scarlett 3.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Cleopatra Rules 2.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Game to Play 4.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Little Love Shack 8.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Margarita Munndy 10.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Madam Griselda 15.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Midshipmans Gold 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Knight Commander 4.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Valla 3.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Discreet Invasion 3.50 4.5 8-1
3 3 Real Men Wear Pink 2.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Mingo Native 10.00 6 11-1
2 2 Thisboy’sacowboy 8.00 6.1 11-1
6 6 Circuit Rider 12.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Dreamingndiamonds 2.50 2.7 5-1
5 5 Spirited Girl 5.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 S C Angel 4.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Obvi 3.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Nikki’s Prize 15.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Goldie Minister 15.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Shewillamaze 4.50 5.9 11-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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