Sports from the Basement

Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, July 11, 2019

July 11, 2019 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Private Party 3.50 2 4-1
6 3 Here’s a Jetpack 1.80 2.1 4-1
2 2 Victory Chimes 8.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Rhettbutler 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 King Kranz 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 One Lucky Step 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Sheikha Mo 1.60 2.6 5-1
2 1 The Good Odds 4.00 3.1 6-1
7 6 Pride Leader 3.00 3.9 7-1
8 7 Talks in Her Sleep 10.00 4.3 8-1
1A 8 Sterling Libertad 15.00 5.2 10-1
3 2 Driver’s License 15.00 5.7 11-1
6 5 Sunny Jo 8.00 5.8 11-1
1 4 Sterling India 15.00 6.8 13-1
5 4 Great Cookie 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Wisconsin 1.80 2.2 4-1
3 3 Dangerus Talent 2.50 2.4 5-1
4 4 Darlindiva 6.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Queen Leia 3.50 3.9 7-1
1 1 Luckycuba 8.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Prospective Melody 8.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 1 Boppin Anda Weavin 3.00 1.7 3-1
5 2 Here’s to Mike 6.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Asset Allocation 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Bank Float 2.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Odlum 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Igotyoursix 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Charlie Mops 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Our Flirtation 4.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Able to Smile 2.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Hickory Made 3.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Accumulate 6.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Naughty Shirley 8.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 My New Venezuela 8.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Funtasia 10.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 3 Final Prospect 3.50 1.8 3-1
8 4 Indian Gulch 4.50 2.5 5-1
5 2 Ox Bro 8.00 2.9 5-1
3 1 Perp 8.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Rock Solid Golfer 2.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Brickyard Kitten 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Babalight 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Young American 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 6 RB KINETIC 1.20 3.1 6-1
4 3 LAZUR HESS 3.50 3.8 7-1
2B 7 RB GAIM CHANGER 1.20 3.9 7-1
1 1 LAST CALL MHF 5.00 4.3 8-1
3 2 RR KY BOURBON 3.00 4.7 9-1
5 4 HIGHH SPIRITS 15.00 6.4 12-1
6 5 BIG CHAY 12.00 6.7 13-1
1A 7 RB HOCUS POCUS 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 TIFFANYS DREAM 1.20 2.7 5-1
1 1 ROYALLY BRED 4.00 4 7-1
2 2 MIZZDORA 3.00 4.3 8-1
4 3 UPTOWN SWEET CAROLINE 6.00 4.4 8-1
1A 4 ROYAL MOONLIGHT 4.00 SCRATCH
3 3 ZARIFA CS 10.00 SCRATCH
6 7 SMOKE EN FIRE 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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