July 7, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Water Polo | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sent From Heaven | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Areocentric | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ben Lomond | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hesathriller | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Majestic Fever | 4.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Carmenootz | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Jungle Fighter | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lyrical Note | 1.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cabertoss | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Seguimi | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Truly Elite | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Groundhog Day | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Victoria S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Hustle | 1.20 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Joker On Jack | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Old Chestnut | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Forester’s Fortune | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Clear Destination | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Curlin’s Voyage | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | English Classic | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Quality Brew | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Clear Blue Sky | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Harpy Eagle | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Standing Reserve | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Self Inflicted | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Spirit of York | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Overbearing | 5.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mr Zydeco | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Crossfire | 8.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Madsam | 20.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Denmark | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Keep On Truckin | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Henrytheeighth | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sugarmac Daddy | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Giant Critic | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Frac Attack | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Trinity Thundah | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Storm Chart | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Daddyplaystheblues | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mazinaw Legend | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Just the Max | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Subzero Plus | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | H Is Just a Number | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Goldrush Glory | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sparkle Sammy | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bear Kitty | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Diamond Gold | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Wilburnrubber | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Real Coal | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fact Checking | 10.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Follow My Lead | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Intent to Strike | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Desolator | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Time to Travel | 3.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vividari | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Timeskip | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flight Deck | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Tequila State | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Skynyrd | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sharp Brew | 15.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Prideofdistinction | 4.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Stopvictimizingme | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Conquest Eliminatr | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sevencomingout | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tale of Ronin | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Night Watchman | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dot’s Vision | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Boyhood Dream | 5.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Victory L. | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hythe | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shanty Town | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Vedder | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mr Leo | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Osage Moon | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Street Talkin Guy | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | World Tax War (IRE) | 2.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Colonel Talbot | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Brutus | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hobo | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Accolades Galore | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Caseyoudidn’tknow | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | I’m Totally Legal | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Diamond Brew | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bear Hugs | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Court Time | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dynamic Solution | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Uvalda | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Scenic Spain Tour | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 11 | Eminent Force | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Gigantic Breeze | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Siding Spring | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cooler Mike | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Decorated Soldier | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Black Sea (FR) | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dragon Bay | 12.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Woodbridge | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Strike the Flag | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Artistico | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Carissimo | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 15 | 13 | Itstartswithadrink | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ethical Funds | 30.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Argentium | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Lapochka | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.