Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, July 7, 2019

July 7, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Water Polo 2.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Sent From Heaven 3.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Areocentric 8.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Ben Lomond 6.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Hesathriller 12.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Majestic Fever 4.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Carmenootz 8.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Jungle Fighter 3.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Lyrical Note 1.80 3.7 7-1
3 3 Cabertoss 2.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Seguimi 6.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Truly Elite 10.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Groundhog Day 12.00 7.7 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Victoria S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Mr. Hustle 1.20 1.6 3-1
6 6 Joker On Jack 2.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Old Chestnut 4.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Forester’s Fortune 12.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Clear Destination 6.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Curlin’s Voyage 10.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 English Classic 4.00 4.8 9-1
7 6 Quality Brew 3.00 5.1 10-1
12 11 Clear Blue Sky 8.00 6.1 11-1
4 3 Harpy Eagle 20.00 6.7 13-1
6 5 Standing Reserve 20.00 7.2 14-1
11 10 Self Inflicted 6.00 7.9 15-1
2 1 Spirit of York 15.00 8.2 15-1
8 7 Overbearing 5.00 8.6 16-1
5 4 Mr Zydeco 20.00 9.3 18-1
10 9 Crossfire 8.00 10.7 20-1
3 2 Madsam 20.00 11.8 22-1
1 1 Denmark 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Keep On Truckin 2.50 2.2 4-1
9 9 Henrytheeighth 3.50 3 6-1
5 5 Sugarmac Daddy 8.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Giant Critic 6.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Frac Attack 10.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Trinity Thundah 15.00 5 9-1
2 2 Storm Chart 4.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 Daddyplaystheblues 15.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Mazinaw Legend 15.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Just the Max 12.00 8.7 16-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Subzero Plus 6.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 H Is Just a Number 3.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Goldrush Glory 2.50 4.3 8-1
1 1 Sparkle Sammy 3.50 4.6 9-1
5 5 Bear Kitty 8.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Diamond Gold 10.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Wilburnrubber 20.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Real Coal 20.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Fact Checking 10.00 8.2 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Follow My Lead 8.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Intent to Strike 12.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Desolator 6.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Time to Travel 3.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Vividari 15.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Timeskip 10.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Flight Deck 12.00 8.3 16-1
12 12 Tequila State 8.00 8.3 16-1
10 10 Skynyrd 20.00 9.7 18-1
4 4 Sharp Brew 15.00 10.4 20-1
5 5 Prideofdistinction 4.00 10.8 20-1
11 11 Stopvictimizingme 20.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Conquest Eliminatr 2.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 Sevencomingout 8.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Tale of Ronin 3.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Night Watchman 6.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Dot’s Vision 8.00 7.2 14-1
9 9 Boyhood Dream 5.00 7.2 14-1
6 6 Victory L. 15.00 7.5 14-1
4 4 Hythe 10.00 8 15-1
2 2 Shanty Town 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Vedder 3.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Mr Leo 6.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Osage Moon 3.50 4.8 9-1
1 1 Street Talkin Guy 8.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 World Tax War (IRE) 2.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Colonel Talbot 20.00 6 11-1
7 7 Brutus 20.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 Hobo 8.00 8.4 16-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Accolades Galore 2.50 2.5 5-1
7 6 Caseyoudidn’tknow 4.00 2.9 5-1
8 7 I’m Totally Legal 3.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Diamond Brew 6.00 4.7 9-1
6 5 Bear Hugs 8.00 5.7 11-1
9 8 Court Time 20.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Dynamic Solution 12.00 6.3 12-1
4 3 Uvalda 20.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Scenic Spain Tour 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 11 Eminent Force 12.00 3.3 6-1
10 10 Gigantic Breeze 6.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Siding Spring 10.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Cooler Mike 4.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Decorated Soldier 10.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Black Sea (FR) 3.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Dragon Bay 12.00 5.6 10-1
14 12 Woodbridge 12.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Strike the Flag 12.00 8.1 15-1
3 3 Artistico 12.00 9 17-1
5 5 Carissimo 20.00 9.1 17-1
15 13 Itstartswithadrink 20.00 10.4 20-1
2 2 Ethical Funds 30.00 10.9 21-1
11 11 Argentium 50.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Lapochka 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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