July 7, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Promising Pistol | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jack’s Dreamer | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Victory Given | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tommy Shelby | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Total Access | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Musta Never Met U | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Crazy Kater | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | McPherson | 1.60 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shelly Island | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Godlovesasinner | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Southern Myth | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Native Flora | 2.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Conquistodor Fuego | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Admiral’s Row | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | The Robert | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lead Astray | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kingston Pike | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Praise the Moon | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | America’s Prince | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Once More Eh | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Le Gros Bill | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Marie From Parie | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mixways | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fanniebellefleming | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Music Maker | 1.60 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Leighla | 10.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hey Mabel | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Caterina One | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Feelin Foxie | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Market Money | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lucy in the Sky | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Just too Much | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sudden Hope | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Go Magician Go | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cocktail Waitress | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Away to Me | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Chesa Charm | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Shecor | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Jersey Life | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Kid Jeter | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | The Walk | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Stormy Forecast | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | He’s Not Curly | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | High Society | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Seattle Ric | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fantasize | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Alluring Silver | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kierland | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sadler Bay | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ride to the Sunset | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Family Tree (GB) | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Relentless Lion | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Scrapple | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Glad Moon (GER) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bull Shark | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nico Bree N Teej | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Align the Numbers | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Taco Supream | 1.80 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grand River | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Higher Purpose | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pascal Chant | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hanalei’s Houdini | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | You Made It | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Silencia | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flyingontheground | 1.60 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hot Friesia | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Petticoatsnpistols | 12.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Bob | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Creative Budgeting | 1.80 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Moti | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Galerio | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Frost’s Song | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Awesome Tracker | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Snidely | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Aladdin Sane | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8A | 8 | Masai Man | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.