July 6, 2019 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Willthisshipsail | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bourbon in Bed | 0.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rochela | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fire Command | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Point Lockout | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Miss Rage | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Month of Sundays | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stoneheart Lady | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rigel’s Halo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Awe Mun | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Pellagrino | 2.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Treasury Stock | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Daddy’s Placer | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Dead Broke | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Schliffy | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Petulant Delight | 4.50 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Kion | 8.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 1A | 10 | Transitive | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Brother Tez | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Super Fleet | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Midnight Poker | 1.20 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Dancing Bull | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | American Talent | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Won Dozen Banks | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Thiscatcanjump | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Late Breaking News | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flashonforty | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Storm Advisory | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 5 | Camp Counselor | 1.20 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Raggy Rocks | 1.20 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | King Darius | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Fontana Di Oro | 30.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Lay It On the Line | 5.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Noble Act | 30.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Air Quality | 10.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Page Down | 12.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dramatized | 15.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | My Danzig Partner | 12.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Built Better | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Lt. Columbo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 10 | Creative Genius | 7.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Jw’s Third Mischie | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Cousin Pete | 6.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Wise Jude | 10.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | The Fairlee Boys | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bob in Our Midst | 4.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Spartak | 10.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Chinese Takeout | 9.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Louie’s Wish | 20.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Asbury Ave | 8.00 | 12.9 | 24-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Behind the Bling | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Chasing Helicity | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Chitown | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Irish Meadow | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | Royal Holiday | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hatteras Bound | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pumpkin Star | 2.50 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Try Flying | 10.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 5 | Every Step | 3.50 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | County Corrections | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Watch Your Words | 30.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sight Line | 15.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Shotmaster | 30.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Champagne Chuck | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2X | 11 | Incubator | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Who’s Out | 1.20 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Wild Caramelo | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Klingon Warrior | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Adulation | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Catch Fire | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Forest River | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Won the Case | 6.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Golden Exchange | 10.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ebo Strong | 30.00 | 11.4 | 21-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Cardcounter | 6.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Caniform | 20.00 | 13.5 | 25-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Down With the King | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Parx Dash S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Pure Sensation | 1.80 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rocket Heat | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fielder | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Long May You Run | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Smokin Nitro | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fig Jelly | 5.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Completed Pass | 6.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Snowday (FR) | 15.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Vision Perfect | 8.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nice Tune | 12.00 | 12.4 | 23-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cowboy Mz | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Swell | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dialin | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mrs. Crews | 2.50 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Iron Lilly | 2.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Betty’s Favorite | 15.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | I Cried a Tear | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Carry Your Heels | 12.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | La Vale | 8.00 | 12.4 | 23-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chessen | 15.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Salty Smile | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.