July 6, 2019 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Nova | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ps Bettin On You | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Frankie Machine | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Seeker | 3.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Getin Gready | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Vangogo | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Loving Moment | 1.60 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Peridot | 2.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Calentita (IRE) | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fairy Tale Bliss | 5.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Traffic Stopper | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Smiling to Excess | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Freedom Ride | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Goveness Sheila | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Cheap Cheap Cheap | 2.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sharp Turn | 10.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Way too Sweet | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Wishful | 1.60 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Heaven Squared | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Scathing | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Moonshine Annie | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shylock Eddie | 3.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Emmy and I | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Into Rissa | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Grinningeartoear | 4.50 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Miss Indefatigable | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Virginia Hall | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Super Bunny | 3.50 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Noor Khan | 3.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Quit Kvetching | 8.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lady Beyonce | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ebb and Flow | 20.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stick Up | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 8 | Conquest Smartee | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Victor’s Show | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Benny the Jet | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Scrambled | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Malibu Magic | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Seven Oxen | 8.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Go Sammy Go | 6.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Perfect Tale | 6.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Delta Forum | 3.50 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sky Glory | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Doheny Beach | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Sheer Flattery | 3.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fawree | 3.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | East Rand | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cabin John | 3.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Very Very Stella | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Little No Way | 8.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Crown the Kitten | 8.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bitter Ring Home | 8.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mongolian Humor | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | McKale | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Make It a Triple | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dueling | 3.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Sequentially | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Emtech | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tap the Wire | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Principe Carlo | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Big Scott Daddy | 5.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | R Cha Cha | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | French Getaway | 20.00 | 13.4 | 25-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rocko’s Wheel | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Great Lady M S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Marley’s Freedom | 1.20 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Anonymity | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Show It N Moe It | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Just a Smidge | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Exuberance | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Danuska’s My Girl | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Yuvetsi | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.