July 6, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Joy Drive | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bo Vuk | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tambora | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | T Sizzle | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | In Arrears | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Manipulated | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Naughty Thoughts | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ankle Monitor | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Courtesy Shuffle | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Always Talking | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Girl Next Door | 4.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Princess Carrigan | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Aim for the Stars | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Determined Love | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Not a Chance | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stomp Dance | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cobh | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lion Lord | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Zip Zip Man | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | War Stroll | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Greely Is Back | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Street Shark | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Height of Thestorm | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Avocado | 3.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Graceful Request | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Unabridged (IRE) | 2.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Not My Money | 3.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Starlet Lady | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Goldmakesmesmile | 12.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Speed Alert | 15.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Two Step Sis | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Simmard Shenanigan | 4.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Variance | 4.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Graceygab | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sunfest | 3.50 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dam Locks | 10.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shall We Dance | 6.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | No Can Dance | 30.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Necessary Drama | 12.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Do I Ever | 30.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Saltworks | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Last Love | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | What the Beep | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Past Perfect | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blameitonthekiss | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ten Oaks Miss | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Unaquoi | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Discreet Deceit | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Too Much Tip | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Souper Echo | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Munificent | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Boos (FR) | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lady by Choice | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Polite Pearl | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Kailee (IRE) | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mandy Blue | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ode to Joy | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Madame X. | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | O. K. Kay | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Vortex Road | 3.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Peach of a Gal | 1.80 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Not in Jeopardy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cool Man Cletus | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Paid Holiday | 1.80 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Creighton | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Junior | 3.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sperry’s Run | 10.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dapper Mun | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.