July 6, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Money Come | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Thorpe d’Oro | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mister Storm | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Broadcast Time | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hollywood Overdogs | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Happy Hat | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Our Boss | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Colosal | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Million Heir | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Arrivederla | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Fafa | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dubull | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Venezuelan Warrior | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stone Heart | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Get Em Up Scout | 3.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Organic Jenny | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Joe Cain | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mass Approval | 30.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Alperes | 1.40 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sheldor | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Interest | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Coyote Quick Step | 99.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Crossband | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Rawlins | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Triple Serious | 50.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Maturin | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Little Two | 99.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Krammy Boy | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Smooth As | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Homedrill | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | El Mayito | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cape Marco Drive | 2.50 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Aghost to the Post | 4.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nightstrings | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Trinni Juice | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Notorious Nick | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Souper Jaguar | 2.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tropicat | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Youshouldbesolucky | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lahinch | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nauti Buoy | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Can’ttakeitwithyou | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Real Estate Mogul | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Frenchmen Street | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Gran Casique | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Iberico | 0.80 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | All D’ Hype | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mr Nappy | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dream d’Oro | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Congrats That | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gran Champagne | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Wild Fox | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Not Surprising S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Art G Is Back | 1.40 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Forever Mo | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vow Me Now | 1.80 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Scraps | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sovereign Warrior | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Starship Aramis | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stirling Drive | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Rain | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Two Sixty | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Espiritu de Luna | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Itsenough | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mimina’s Team | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Addilyn | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Mistress | 15.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fujairah | 15.00 | 11.9 | 23-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Emperor’s Song | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Mystic Comin Home | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Mandamus | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Kimura | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Martha Washington S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Vow to Recover | 1.60 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kelsey’s Cross | 2.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Red Rounder | 3.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bello Porte | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | La Australiana | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jolie Bay | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Indicia | 15.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zarina | 15.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Salsa Jack | 1.80 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Apartfromthecrowd | 2.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Nominal Dollars | 3.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Il Faraone | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Whistle Me Home | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dreamy Martini | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gotsomemojo | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Takedown | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Royalston | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Completely Bonkers | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Alien Invasion | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Billy Big (IRE) | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Rompin Reid | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Diamond Mint | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Kinghood | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Abbot | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Big Money Machine | 4.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | At the Ready | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Kid Mac Cool | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Grandpa Knows Best | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Manolete | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Scam | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Downrange | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Avast Matey | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tempter | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cool Mover | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | One Fine Ride | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chirping | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Express Jet | 50.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Awesome Thought | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Blind Ruckus | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Strong Composition | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.