July 6, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Man On the Beach | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Jess Corona Blue | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Apollitical Toni | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jet Black Bear | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tm I See a Patriot | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Toast to Jet Black | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Grayheart Piloto | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jess a Rogue Patriot | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Sheasa Fast Dash | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tf Firey Dash | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | La Prize Streak | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wicked Dashin Witch | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | U R Jess Blue | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jessa Touch | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Standing At the Bar | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ajs Streakin Fast | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Intriguing Runaway | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bold Blue Ruler | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jonneysjumpin | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sizzlin Loose | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Jet Black Patron | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jf Sizzlin Feature | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Politically Blue | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr Achievement B | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Loco Perry | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Swamp Eagle | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Sir Runaway Lynn | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rl First Homerun | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Girlsingtheblues | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jrs Shining Fantasy | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Jessbye Train | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zoomino | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Special Politico | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Rf Debs Patriot | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Ms Diamond Prize | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Swamp Cartel | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Glazee | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Jrs Duel Fantasy | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Leavin You Blue | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jess Redwhiteandblue | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Live Oak S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Louisiana Dressblues | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jessi Jam | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jw Who Dat | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Heza Dash Faster | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dwaynes First Perry | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Zoomins Jewel | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr Desert Streak | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rakin in the Jax | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Louisiana Starter S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Sweet Caliente Royal | 1.20 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Follow My Wagon | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tuckers Prize | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mighty Doris | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | A Regal Patriot | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fly Game Fly | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Renegade | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tdz Runaway Sash | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | First Ladybug Doc | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Silver Fox | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Flashy Hemp S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Fastdashing Lassie | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Sheza Pretty N Black | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cajun Cos | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lil Biscuit | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Google Chrome B | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Amending the Bar | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | High and Caliente | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Di Maria | 6.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Flamin Hot Fortune | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Monees Fast Cash | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Flying Breed S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Heasablackmagic | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jls Tee Cos Jr | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gunsmoke B | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | The Cazador | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gunna Be Alright | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Heza Magic Coronas | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Little Toy Guns | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fit for First | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Packin a Punch | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Di Maria | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Louisiana Juvenile S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Fast Dash Hondo Cat | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Heza Lawman | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blues Forrtune | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hot Tickin Patriot | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rdd Empire Builder | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Apollitical Barbie | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tf Toast to Whiskey | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | El Dorado Stone | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Some Quick Politic | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Moonocracy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Louisiana Classic S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Mpshinning | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | San Lorenzo Corona | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Featuring Fast Jess | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dlj Imma B Famous | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Beyondthecos | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tan Jet | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lightemupwithcharm | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jls Dash N Fire | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sizzlin On Da Bayou | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Rigsby | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Derby) – Delta Downs Louisiana Bred Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tdz Louisiana Toast | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Rogue One | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Eysa Jess Jumpn | 1.60 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Barjaxs | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | On Point | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Guidry Pride II | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Game Overtime | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Achievopiloto | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Im for Real | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Corona Prize | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Futurity) – Lee Beerwick Futurity
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Ed O | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pilotoshinning | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rf Apolliticalcookie | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | A Quick Jewel | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sir Runaway Cash | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jess a Fast Rogue | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flash of Light | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Runaway Second Down | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Baby Freighttrain | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Apollitical Bug | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.