Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, July 6, 2019

July 6, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Man On the Beach 3.00 1.7 3-1
7 6 Jess Corona Blue 3.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Apollitical Toni 2.50 3.4 6-1
4 4 Jet Black Bear 12.00 3.9 7-1
8 7 Tm I See a Patriot 15.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Toast to Jet Black 6.00 4.5 8-1
9 8 Grayheart Piloto 20.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Jess a Rogue Patriot 20.00 6.5 12-1
10 9 Sheasa Fast Dash 20.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Tf Firey Dash 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 La Prize Streak 4.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Wicked Dashin Witch 3.50 3.5 7-1
1 1 U R Jess Blue 3.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Jessa Touch 10.00 4 8-1
8 8 Standing At the Bar 10.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Ajs Streakin Fast 10.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Intriguing Runaway 6.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Bold Blue Ruler 8.00 6 11-1
9 9 Jonneysjumpin 20.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Sizzlin Loose 20.00 8.4 16-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Jet Black Patron 2.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 Jf Sizzlin Feature 4.50 3.7 7-1
4 4 Politically Blue 12.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Mr Achievement B 10.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Loco Perry 3.50 4.3 8-1
5 5 Swamp Eagle 6.00 4.5 9-1
10 9 Sir Runaway Lynn 8.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Rl First Homerun 15.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Girlsingtheblues 15.00 7 13-1
2 2 Jrs Shining Fantasy 20.00 8.4 16-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Jessbye Train 5.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Zoomino 8.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Special Politico 8.00 3.6 7-1
6 5 Rf Debs Patriot 6.00 3.6 7-1
9 8 Ms Diamond Prize 3.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Swamp Cartel 10.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Glazee 12.00 5.2 10-1
8 7 Jrs Duel Fantasy 15.00 5.6 11-1
10 9 Leavin You Blue 12.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Jess Redwhiteandblue 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Live Oak S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Louisiana Dressblues 2.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Jessi Jam 3.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Jw Who Dat 6.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Heza Dash Faster 4.50 4.1 8-1
6 6 Dwaynes First Perry 5.00 5 9-1
2 2 Zoomins Jewel 15.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Mr Desert Streak 12.00 6 11-1
3 3 Rakin in the Jax 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Louisiana Starter S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Sweet Caliente Royal 1.20 2.5 5-1
2 2 Follow My Wagon 4.50 3.2 6-1
7 7 Tuckers Prize 5.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Mighty Doris 10.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 A Regal Patriot 12.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Fly Game Fly 12.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Royal Renegade 10.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Tdz Runaway Sash 20.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 First Ladybug Doc 20.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Silver Fox 15.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Flashy Hemp S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Fastdashing Lassie 3.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Sheza Pretty N Black 4.50 3.7 7-1
2 2 Cajun Cos 8.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Lil Biscuit 12.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Google Chrome B 10.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Amending the Bar 3.50 5.9 11-1
9 9 High and Caliente 10.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Di Maria 6.00 6.6 13-1
7 7 Flamin Hot Fortune 12.00 7.4 14-1
10 10 Monees Fast Cash 20.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Flying Breed S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Heasablackmagic 4.50 3 6-1
1 1 Jls Tee Cos Jr 6.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Gunsmoke B 2.50 4 8-1
6 6 The Cazador 12.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Gunna Be Alright 3.00 4.2 8-1
10 10 Heza Magic Coronas 20.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Little Toy Guns 15.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Fit for First 10.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Packin a Punch 15.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Di Maria 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Louisiana Juvenile S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Fast Dash Hondo Cat 2.00 2.9 6-1
10 10 Heza Lawman 10.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Blues Forrtune 3.50 3.9 7-1
2 2 Hot Tickin Patriot 10.00 4 8-1
9 9 Rdd Empire Builder 4.50 4.7 9-1
6 6 Apollitical Barbie 15.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Tf Toast to Whiskey 10.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 El Dorado Stone 12.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Some Quick Politic 15.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Moonocracy 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Louisiana Classic S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Mpshinning 4.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 San Lorenzo Corona 2.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Featuring Fast Jess 8.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Dlj Imma B Famous 8.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Beyondthecos 4.50 5.2 10-1
4 4 Tan Jet 20.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Lightemupwithcharm 5.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Jls Dash N Fire 20.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Sizzlin On Da Bayou 20.00 7.2 14-1
10 10 Rigsby 20.00 7.7 15-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Derby) – Delta Downs Louisiana Bred Derby

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Tdz Louisiana Toast 3.00 2.2 4-1
10 10 Rogue One 10.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Eysa Jess Jumpn 1.60 3.5 7-1
4 4 Barjaxs 10.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 On Point 8.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Guidry Pride II 8.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Game Overtime 15.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Achievopiloto 20.00 6.6 13-1
6 6 Im for Real 10.00 6.9 13-1
9 9 Corona Prize 20.00 8.2 15-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Futurity) – Lee Beerwick Futurity

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Ed O 6.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Pilotoshinning 3.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Rf Apolliticalcookie 4.00 3.5 7-1
10 10 A Quick Jewel 8.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Sir Runaway Cash 12.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Jess a Fast Rogue 15.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Flash of Light 10.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Runaway Second Down 12.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Baby Freighttrain 8.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Apollitical Bug 5.00 6.4 12-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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