July 6, 2019 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bid You Adieu | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Malibu Mischief | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Eight Oaks | 1.40 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sarahrini | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Caralicious | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Whyisshesoolucky | 4.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Canarsie Princess | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Awesome Adversary | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | No More Miracles | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Southern Brigade | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Prince Halo | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Seven Plus Seven | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Golconda | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Vincent | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Millies Party Boy | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Keep the Light On | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Roll Tide | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Herecomesthejudge | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Icey Cash | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Ridolfo | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lookbothways | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kreah’s Ribbon | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Moon Heist | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fight On Lucy | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pendolino | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Our Craftys Legacy | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Irish Banker | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cash Offer | 1.40 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bangle Gal | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Its a Chance | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cathy Naz | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shesasuperfreak | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mary’s Girl | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tequila Sunday | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ok Honey | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Montauk Daddy | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Invader | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Silver Prospector | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Time for Trouble | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hard Sting | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Percentage | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dubai Bobby | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | City Guy | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Now Is | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bayern’s Mirage | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Dwyer S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rowayton | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Code of Honor | 0.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Whiskey Echo | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mihos | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Majid | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Final Jeopardy | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Belmont Oaks Invitational S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Newspaperofrecord (IRE) | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cambier Parc | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cafe Americano | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Concrete Rose | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Olendon (FR) | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Just Wonderful | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dyna Passer | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Coral Beach (IRE) | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jodie (JPN) | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – John A. Nerud S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Promises Fulfilled | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Do Share | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | New York Central | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Warrior’s Club | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Killybegs Captain | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Nicodemus | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bon Raison | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Majestic Dunhill | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Pat On the Back | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Belmont Derby Invitational S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Digital Age (IRE) | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Social Paranoia | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Demarchelier (GB) | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Seismic Wave | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Henley’s Joy | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Spinoff | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Standard Deviation | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Moon Colony | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | English Bee | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Plus Que Parfait | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Rockemperor (IRE) | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cape of Good Hope (IRE) | 10.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Master Fencer (JPN) | 12.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Blenheim Palace (IRE) | 30.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | He’s No Lemon | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Suburban S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Preservationist | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Catholic Boy | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Cordmaker | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Marconi | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rocketry | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Pavel | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lone Sailor | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wooderson | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Realm | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Carlino | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mead Hall | 50.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Charreada | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ledecka | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | La Vida | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Whatdoesasharksay | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Five Alarm Robin | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Windward Sands | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Cairo Queen | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Foolish Living | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Skyhawk | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Downstream | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hunting Season | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Bossy Bride | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.