July 5, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Where’s the Widget | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bold Animaux | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Willy’s Castle | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Narrow Escape | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Honig | 4.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bourbon Extension | 3.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | You’re Batman | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Divine Dance | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Victor’s Flag | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Butilovesyababe | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Captain Sidney | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cry Bao | 3.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fearless Freak | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Subliminal | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | War Factory | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ox Trot | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fiery Bear | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dot’s Vision | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Hythe | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Sevencomingout | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Victory L. | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Boyhood Dream | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Tale of Ronin | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Am Prepared | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lafleur | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Littleroughjustice | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Just for Rose | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Synergized | 2.50 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Wincredible Star | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cauldron | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Just Run With It | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Eyes Forward | 12.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Break and Enter | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Metadata | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Big Classic | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mambointheforest | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Everglow | 2.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Thxforbeinmyfriend | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Secret Path | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Countryside Drive | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rapid Fire | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dunes of Namibia | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 9 | Thanks Again | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Our Uncle Drew | 15.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Star Conqueror | 20.00 | 14.1 | 27-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Stop the Humbug | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Lucky Street | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Cause of Action | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Kilkenny Prospect | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Moon Magic | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Scat Big Dad | 2.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Derby Rebel | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Bens Last Call | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cool Gizmo | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Major Kelly | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Piccadilly Beau | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | A Rated Breeze | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Grimgrinnin’ Ghost | 20.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Coolshade | 20.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shanty Town | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Moonstone | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Notice Me | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Twitter Storm | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | She’s Got Fire | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gosudarina | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I Look Incredible | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Calais Cove | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Prairie Citizen | 20.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Windjammer (GER) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Nearly Missed | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Georgia Sweets | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Dulcibelle (GER) | 3.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Julie’s Tap Dancer | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Overturned | 8.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Easy Bid | 10.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Typically | 4.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Annie Go Lightly | 5.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Silvertail | 15.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Stella Unreal | 20.00 | 14.7 | 28-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Munch and Crunch | 20.00 | 15.2 | 29-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Uvalda | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.