July 5, 2019 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Crimson Zip | 1.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pickens | 2.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mafia Don | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rarerare | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Recorder | 8.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | J P Warrior | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Naivasha Montana | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ms. D’s Last Storm | 0.80 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Major Mingo | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Academy Bay | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Zimmerman | 5.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Logan’s Reward | 10.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Serengeti | 1.60 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Smart Spree | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Guska Mon Shoes | 1.80 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Curlinate | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Ault | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Powerful Thirst | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Little Bones | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wrinkled Rose | 2.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Clear Creedence | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Violent Fit | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Frugal Betty | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rocket First | 6.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | De Cats a Cougar | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Iowa Sprint H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | D’ Rapper | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Share the Upside | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Glory Stars | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Do Share | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | The Tabulator | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Cummings | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Seven Trumpets | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Iowa Oaks
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ulele | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Beach Getaway | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Taylor’s Spirit | 5.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sold It | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Apple | 1.60 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Scatrattleandroll | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Diane | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Iowa Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Top Line Growth | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Winning Number | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mr Money Bags | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shang | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fluminense | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | And Seek | 12.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Night Ops | 4.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miltontown | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Thetrashmanscoming | 20.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Proverb | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Visitant | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Dazzling Truths | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Prairie Meadows Cornhusker H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Exclamation Point | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dark Vader | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Popularity | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Remembering Rita | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sir Anthony | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Exulting | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Retirement Fund | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chris and Dave | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hence | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pinson | 15.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Two Thirty Five | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mojovation | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sky Defence | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Goodwillambassador | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Record Year | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sure Fire Friend | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Holding Fast | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Keesawah | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Catale Storm | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Daahers Bully | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lovethatcause | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Torington | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Songster | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Future Abundance | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Scratch N Sniff | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Equiphobia | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Circuit Rider | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.