Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, July 5, 2019

July 5, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Big Boy Bruno 2.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Courage and Honor 2.50 2.9 5-1
1 1 Prince Tito 3.50 5.3 10-1
4 4 Sky Point 5.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Spa Jazz 4.50 6 11-1
2 2 King Wildcat 15.00 6.1 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Early Time (FR) 1.80 5 9-1
1 1 Karenina 3.50 5 9-1
3 3 Rapid Transit 6.00 5.2 10-1
8 7 Infinity Sky 15.00 5.7 11-1
9 8 Starship Gussie 8.00 5.9 11-1
7 6 Mambo Dancer 4.00 6.1 11-1
2 2 Mi Karlita 15.00 6.5 12-1
6 5 Kindhearted Kota 15.00 8.1 15-1
5 5 Total Treasure 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Front Loaded 10.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Aequor 3.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Eye of a Jedi 2.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Bondetti 4.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 So Long Chuck 10.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Red Crescent 2.50 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Spanned 1.60 3.9 7-1
1 1 Reorganize 4.00 4.9 9-1
4 3 Good Timing Man 6.00 5.6 11-1
8 7 Taranto 4.50 5.8 11-1
3 2 Goldenlineof 50.00 6.4 12-1
7 6 Frank Alone 15.00 6.9 13-1
9 8 The Exception 5.00 7 13-1
5 4 Analyzeyourvision 15.00 8.9 17-1
2 2 Red Hood 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Rock You 1.80 2.9 5-1
4 3 Charlie the Greek 4.50 4.3 8-1
2 1 Quenane 8.00 4.7 9-1
3 2 Unbridled Piper 15.00 5.3 10-1
6 5 Love Tree 3.50 5.6 10-1
5 4 Mr Chaplin 20.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Dizzy Gillespie 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Let’s Rumble 1.00 2.9 6-1
7 4 Bambino 5.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Stroll by Lea 10.00 4.8 9-1
8 5 St Joe Viper 15.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Fifth of November 20.00 7 13-1
4 4 I’m Happy 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Cuy 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Captain D 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Unlockthepotential 6.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Justcallmenorman 3.50 5.9 11-1
9 9 Buddy’s Run 5.00 6 11-1
5 5 Farley 8.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Big Agenda 4.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 Lil Commissioner 6.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Please Sit Down 8.00 7.3 14-1
10 10 Crown to the Gold 12.00 9.2 17-1
8 8 Chief White Sox 15.00 10 19-1
6 6 Shiny Copper Penny 30.00 10.5 20-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Drill Down Dude 1.60 3.7 7-1
7 6 Starship Taxi 5.00 4.2 8-1
9 8 Buffon 1.80 4.6 9-1
5 4 Toms Chuchu 20.00 7.3 14-1
8 7 Determined Boy 4.00 7.6 14-1
3 2 South Pass 20.00 7.9 15-1
6 5 Gem Juan 30.00 8.4 16-1
4 3 Noble King 50.00 8.9 17-1
1 1 Molokai Night 50.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Peace Speaker 4.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Barbie’s King 5.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Restart 8.00 4.7 9-1
11 10 Perfect Enough 15.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Stay Again 20.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Can’t Trump Kitten 3.00 7.7 14-1
8 8 El Commendatore 12.00 8.6 16-1
12 11 Judge Hudson 20.00 8.9 17-1
4 4 Art Bijou (ARG) 50.00 9.9 19-1
1 1 Its an Experience 30.00 10.1 19-1
10 9 Leaveittoquay 50.00 10.7 20-1
9 9 Alperes 3.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Sheldor 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Triple Serious 99.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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