July 5, 2019 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Altea (FR) | 1.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Salsa Bella (FR) | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Passing Out | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Alasaayil | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cottonwood Falls | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Private Beach | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | No Hayne No Gayne | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Lovely La La | 1.20 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Saratoga Treasure | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Wantagh Queen | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Broken Border | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Alabama Bound | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Starlite Mission | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hay Field | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Bertranda | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Dancingwthdaffodls | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Kept True | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | There He Goes | 1.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sams Last Ghasp | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Hokulea | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Proximate to Power | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Desert Lights | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | No Mo Promises | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Elenzee | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | No Regrets | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Poppy Joe Rocks | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | La Maquina Gris | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Yes and Yes | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | I Love Jaxson | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mend Up | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Split Verdict | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Gallant Bid | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Royal Asset | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Happy Farm | 0.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bitumen | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Will Did It | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vicar’s Legend | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Swiping Dan | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Bacchanalia | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Romantic Pursuit | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Monhegan | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Amarone | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Estill | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Giulia Ammannati | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Coilean Bawn | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Madame Orbe | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ygritte | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pallas Athene | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – River Memories S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Fools Gold | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Semper Sententiae | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | Scottish Jig | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Homeland Security | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 6 | Sky Full of Stars (GER) | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Matty’s Magnum | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ferdinanda | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Lemon Zip | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Theodora B. | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Gaining (GB) | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Pamina | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Violet Blue | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Another Broad | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Victory Ride S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Royal Charlotte | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sue’s Fortune | 1.40 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cookie Dough | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Peruvian Appeal | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brill | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Moyne Spun | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mrs. Orb | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Big Expense | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Fika | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Molly’s Nighthawk | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Katook | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Valencia Vale | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Pretty Spectacular | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Report to the Rail | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Royalbonnielegacy | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sweet Breeze | 50.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sarah’s Rainbow | 50.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Amazing Zero | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Crater Rim | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | La Rubia | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.