July 4, 2019 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Drink | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Passing | 2.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | King Charlie | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Super Classic | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Fait Accompli | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Unbroken Star | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Young Hendrick | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tiger On Your Six | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jetovator | 1.80 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Atomic Candy | 2.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Northrndancrsghost | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Handsome John | 1.60 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sonic Boy | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Moon Juice | 1.80 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Night At the Opera | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Bad Ben | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr Bingley | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Spanish Channel | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flying Flirt | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flying to the Line | 1.20 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Second Avenue | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dunbow Road | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Leading Indicator | 3.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Petronilla | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bluegrass Faith | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Shez a Grinder | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fly the Sky | 1.80 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Pour On the Cole | 2.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Hot Socks | 4.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mainframe Judy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Alfareed | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lucky Patrick | 3.50 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sergio | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | War Union | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Captain N. Barron | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gryffindor | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Drill Time | 5.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nations Hope | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Pacific Strike | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Catoca | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Qafilah (IRE) | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Charmingslew | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Watheeqa | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Raneem | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Busy Paynter | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shocking Fast | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Saints Paynter | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Noble Girl | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Amatara | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lady Wedad | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Full Eclipse | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kohala Coast | 20.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cherished | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Golden Image | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mighty Elijah | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Winding | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Irish Ballad | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Siculo | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | R B Eye | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lorelei’s Warrior | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Baja Warrior | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Alfonso C | 10.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Muscle Head | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Love and Hold | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 98 | Royal Blue Grass | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.