June 30, 2019 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Galahad Kid | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Suzdal | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Saturdays Hangover | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fern | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | High Hero | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Trumpified | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dark Ninja | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bold Attack | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tres Generaciones | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dust Bowl | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tuff Attack | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Raging Sidecar | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Braden’s Position | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blue Sky Kowboy | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Memory Bank | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chief Oakie Dokie | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | River Cactus | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bulldog of Bergen | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Switheral | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Senor Blanco | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Trumpi | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Supermans Cape | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jeff the Lion | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Delta Levy | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Two Pair | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rio Seco | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | High On Sugar | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Summer Castle | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Suspenders | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Shezahotmama | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Odachi | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cooper’s Keeper | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sperling | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kingsbury Dream | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Peppermint Ice | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Uknowiaintlying | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Elusive Force | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Majestic Hero | 5.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Andreas | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Next Monday | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Yourdecisionotmine | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Patch’s Lugh | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Donivan My Boy | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Angelino | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Portico | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | In the Chamber | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | All Call | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | McHenry | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Moonlight Mischief | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Antrim’s Giant | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Golden Gift | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Rock n’ Candy | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Shakurr | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Fleetway | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Miracle Mountain | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Big Dinner | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Knockyourblockoff | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blue Steel | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Intonation | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Harlanday | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Warriors Gem | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Prince Abubu | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mighty Ghost | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Just Run | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.