June 29, 2019 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Skywriting | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Red Right Hand | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Final Say | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Single Focus | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cavaradossi | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Everyonelovesjames | 1.20 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gambler’s Fallacy | 1.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Appealing Briefs | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Cloontia | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Ides of Arch | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blugrascat’s Smile | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Shamrock Kid | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Qian B C | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Daring Disguise | 1.40 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Uncle Curly | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Worth a Shot | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Freudian Sip | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Apex Predator | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | I’m Elmer J Fudd | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Daddy Knows | 0.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Gleason | 0.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mandatory Payout | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ari’s Naughty Luca | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spectator Sport | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Raphael | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dark Money | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dublin Green | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Rhode Island | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blacktop Legend | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Strategic Outlook | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mystic Times | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Skychief | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | French Revolution | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Noble Lion | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bold Gem | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lion Dance | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Performer | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | One Eyed Jack | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Free Enterprise | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Holmdel | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Qaabil | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mucho Sunshine | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Perfect Sting S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Uni (GB) | 0.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bellavais | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Binti Al Nar (GER) | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mrs. Ramona G. | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Too Charming | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Mother Goose S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dunbar Road | 0.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cassies Dreamer | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Classic Fit | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jeltrin | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Safta | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wings of Dawn | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Funny Money Honey | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Catsoutofthebag | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Getmotherarose | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mom I Forgive You | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Brass Ring | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shrink | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Roses From Ben | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Galadriel’s Light | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.