Sports from the Basement

Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, June 29, 2019

June 29, 2019 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Skywriting 1.60 1.8 3-1
4 4 Red Right Hand 2.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Final Say 2.50 3 6-1
1 1 Single Focus 15.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Cavaradossi 4.00 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Everyonelovesjames 1.20 2.7 5-1
2 2 Gambler’s Fallacy 1.60 3.2 6-1
1 1 Appealing Briefs 5.00 3.4 6-1
6 4 Cloontia 8.00 3.6 7-1
7 5 Ides of Arch 5.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Blugrascat’s Smile 2.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Shamrock Kid 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Qian B C 2.50 1.9 4-1
6 6 Daring Disguise 1.40 3.1 6-1
1 1 Uncle Curly 3.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Worth a Shot 8.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Freudian Sip 20.00 6 11-1
4 4 Apex Predator 20.00 6.1 12-1
8 7 I’m Elmer J Fudd 8.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Daddy Knows 0.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Gleason 0.60 2.1 4-1
4 4 Mandatory Payout 8.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Ari’s Naughty Luca 10.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Spectator Sport 6.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Raphael 10.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Dark Money 5.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Dublin Green 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Rhode Island 2.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Blacktop Legend 6.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Strategic Outlook 3.00 4 8-1
7 7 Mystic Times 4.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Skychief 10.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 French Revolution 6.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Noble Lion 12.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Bold Gem 30.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Lion Dance 1.80 1.4 3-1
5 4 Performer 2.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 One Eyed Jack 3.50 4.3 8-1
1 1 Free Enterprise 6.00 4.5 9-1
6 5 Holmdel 6.00 5.2 10-1
7 6 Qaabil 12.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Mucho Sunshine 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Perfect Sting S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Uni (GB) 0.60 2.2 4-1
4 4 Bellavais 2.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Binti Al Nar (GER) 10.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Mrs. Ramona G. 6.00 4 7-1
5 5 Too Charming 12.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Mother Goose S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Dunbar Road 0.80 2.8 5-1
5 5 Cassies Dreamer 10.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Classic Fit 8.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Jeltrin 4.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Safta 6.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Wings of Dawn 5.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Funny Money Honey 1.80 2.7 5-1
8 7 Catsoutofthebag 5.00 3.4 6-1
6 5 Getmotherarose 3.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Mom I Forgive You 10.00 4 7-1
7 6 Brass Ring 12.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Shrink 6.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Roses From Ben 20.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Galadriel’s Light 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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