Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, June 28, 2019

June 28, 2019 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Puffery 2.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Theaterintheround 3.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 Ladrona 4.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Dancingwthdaffodls 8.00 3.8 7-1
6 5 Blissful Breeze 15.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Codrington 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Power Boss 1.20 2.2 4-1
5 5 Inclunation 1.60 3.2 6-1
2 2 Ninja Dust 4.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Smidge 12.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Big Wonder 15.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Grassetto 10.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Willing to Speed 2.50 3.3 6-1
4 4 Uhtred 2.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Megacity 4.00 4.4 8-1
9 7 Seanow 6.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Silver Shield 6.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Bad Guy 15.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Rucksack 8.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Spectator Sport 5.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Mental Model 1.20 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 3 Determined Force 5.00 2.1 4-1
3 2 Analyze Your Risk 1.80 2.3 4-1
2A 1 Rejected Again 2.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 South Africa 4.00 SCRATCH
4A 4 Bayern’s Mirage 2.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Best Surprise Ever 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Blue Belt 3.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Candid Desire 1.80 3.2 6-1
2 2 T Loves a Fight 6.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Summer Bourbon 2.00 4 8-1
5 5 Playthatfunnymusic 4.50 4.1 8-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Extrordinary Jerry 3.00 2.7 5-1
4 3 Rapt 4.00 3.8 7-1
7 6 No Mans Land 8.00 3.8 7-1
5 4 Militiaman 2.50 4.2 8-1
6 5 Hierarchy 3.00 4.2 8-1
3 2 Crackspeed (ARG) 4.50 5.5 10-1
2 2 Shadow Rider 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 4 Anne Dupree 2.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Retro Street 3.00 3 6-1
2 2 Enlisting 4.50 3.9 7-1
9 6 Architect 2.50 4.6 9-1
8 5 Rossellini 12.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Madame Barbarian 10.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Chasing the Kitty 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Preziosa 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Kingdom’s Queen 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Mai Ty One On 3.00 2.6 5-1
7 5 Oleksandra (AUS) 6.00 3.3 6-1
5 4 Dr. Shane 2.00 3.5 7-1
3 2 Vici 2.50 3.7 7-1
4 3 Tibr 10.00 5.1 10-1
8 6 Life in Shambles 4.50 5.2 10-1
2 2 Share the Ride 2.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Wonderful Light 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Alphastest 3.00 2.9 6-1
5 5 No Worries Mate 12.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Magnesite 4.50 3.8 7-1
7 7 Game Break 8.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Dove Shoot 8.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Go With Honor 5.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Lorri’s Candy 8.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Curlin the Giant 15.00 7.6 14-1
12 12 Ticked All Daboxes 20.00 7.8 15-1
11 11 J’s Warrior 20.00 8 15-1
6 6 Evan 15.00 8.2 16-1
10 10 Falsifier 20.00 8.4 16-1
13 13 Sporting Art 4.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.