June 28, 2019 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Puffery | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
1 | 1 | Theaterintheround | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
2 | 2 | Ladrona | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
4 | 4 | Dancingwthdaffodls | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
6 | 5 | Blissful Breeze | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
5 | 5 | Codrington | 1.60 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Power Boss | 1.20 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
5 | 5 | Inclunation | 1.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
2 | 2 | Ninja Dust | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
6 | 6 | Smidge | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
4 | 4 | Big Wonder | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
1 | 1 | Grassetto | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Willing to Speed | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
4 | 4 | Uhtred | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
6 | 6 | Megacity | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
9 | 7 | Seanow | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
5 | 5 | Silver Shield | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
1 | 1 | Bad Guy | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
3 | 3 | Rucksack | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
7 | 7 | Spectator Sport | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
8 | 8 | Mental Model | 1.20 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 3 | Determined Force | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
3 | 2 | Analyze Your Risk | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
2A | 1 | Rejected Again | 2.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
1 | 1 | South Africa | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
4A | 4 | Bayern’s Mirage | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
6 | 6 | Best Surprise Ever | 3.50 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Blue Belt | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
1 | 1 | Candid Desire | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
2 | 2 | T Loves a Fight | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
4 | 4 | Summer Bourbon | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
5 | 5 | Playthatfunnymusic | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Extrordinary Jerry | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
4 | 3 | Rapt | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
7 | 6 | No Mans Land | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
5 | 4 | Militiaman | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
6 | 5 | Hierarchy | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
3 | 2 | Crackspeed (ARG) | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
2 | 2 | Shadow Rider | 2.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 4 | Anne Dupree | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
1 | 1 | Retro Street | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
2 | 2 | Enlisting | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
9 | 6 | Architect | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
8 | 5 | Rossellini | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
3 | 3 | Madame Barbarian | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
4 | 4 | Chasing the Kitty | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
5 | 5 | Preziosa | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
7 | 7 | Kingdom’s Queen | 2.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Mai Ty One On | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
7 | 5 | Oleksandra (AUS) | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
5 | 4 | Dr. Shane | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
3 | 2 | Vici | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
4 | 3 | Tibr | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
8 | 6 | Life in Shambles | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
2 | 2 | Share the Ride | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
6 | 6 | Wonderful Light | 3.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Alphastest | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
5 | 5 | No Worries Mate | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
8 | 8 | Magnesite | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
7 | 7 | Game Break | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
9 | 9 | Dove Shoot | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
1 | 1 | Go With Honor | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
3 | 3 | Lorri’s Candy | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
4 | 4 | Curlin the Giant | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
12 | 12 | Ticked All Daboxes | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
11 | 11 | J’s Warrior | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
6 | 6 | Evan | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
10 | 10 | Falsifier | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
13 | 13 | Sporting Art | 4.50 | SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.