Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, June 27, 2019

June 27, 2019 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Fallinginloveagain 1.40 1.7 3-1
4 3 Eddy Dirt 4.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 Purchasing Power 3.50 SCRATCH
5 4 Curlin’s New Moon 1.60 2.8 5-1
1 1 Simma Cum Laude 15.00 4.5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Zee Drop 3.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Alley to Calvary 3.00 3.7 7-1
8 7 Kickin Kimberly 2.50 3.9 7-1
2 2 Shak’s Hidden Gem 8.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Movie Score 20.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Malibu Mischief 3.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Appreciate 3.50 4.7 9-1
5 5 Tiffanys Freud 20.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Party in the Sand 15.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Neighborhood Bully 3.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Desert Lights 1.80 2.8 5-1
3 3 Flatexcel 3.50 2.9 6-1
4 4 Hokulea 5.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Ten Twenty Nine 2.50 3.7 7-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Chillinwithfriends 1.20 2.3 4-1
3 3 Handle With Care 3.50 2.4 4-1
2 2 Pecatonica 4.00 2.6 5-1
6 5 Miss Ross 5.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Sander’s Empire 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Disquiet 8.00 5.4 10-1
7 6 Ask Contrition 15.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Javelin 3.50 2.5 5-1
3 2 Forge 2.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Lazarus Project 3.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Malibu Action 6.00 3.2 6-1
2 1 Swiping Dan 6.00 4.1 8-1
4 3 Will Did It 15.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Orpheus (ARG) 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 5 Call Me Kayla 4.00 2.8 5-1
3 2 Kreesie 2.00 3 6-1
7 4 Repatriated Gem (GB) 4.50 3.1 6-1
4 3 So Charming 3.50 3.8 7-1
5 5 Mo Moxie 1.20 SCRATCH
2 2 Style and Grace 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Zarmella (FR) 3.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Kingdom’s Queen 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Scout’s Honor 3.50 2.2 4-1
6A 5 Indian Guide 8.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Have Another 5.00 2.9 6-1
3 2 Fire On Fire 4.50 3.9 7-1
4 3 Mission Command 15.00 4.6 9-1
8 7 The Crocheron Kid 8.00 4.7 9-1
7 6 Canarsie Kid 2.00 5.1 10-1
9 8 Manifest Destiny 10.00 6 11-1
2A 2 Blue Belt 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Looking At Bikinis 1.60 2.1 4-1
4 4 Overdeliver 3.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Federal Case 4.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Not That Brady 2.50 3.9 7-1
1 1 Family Biz 10.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Twelfthofneverland 15.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Global Exchange 3.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Lady Worthington 4.00 3.3 6-1
6 5 Miss You Blues 6.00 3.7 7-1
5 4 Brittas Bay 4.00 4.1 8-1
10 10 Rapido Gatta 2.50 SCRATCH
4 3 Nay Lady Nay (IRE) 3.50 4.7 9-1
2 2 Liza Jambalaya 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Courageous Cajun 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Sweeping In 8.00 SCRATCH
8 6 Simply Miss Red 15.00 6.9 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.