Sports from the Basement

Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, June 23, 2019

June 23, 2019 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Take Charge Tina 0.60 3 6-1
2 2 Fancycase 8.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Ardara Belle (FR) 4.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Ok Honey 6.00 4 8-1
4 4 Caralicious 12.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Alvernia 8.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Time Limit 2.00 1.6 3-1
3 2 Jen’s Battle 4.00 2.3 4-1
5 4 Funnypointofview 4.50 2.8 5-1
7 6 Strongerthanuknow 2.50 3.1 6-1
4 3 Rewarded 20.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Fortune’s Girl 12.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Gabi’s Tuff 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Chipolata (FR) 1.60 2.5 5-1
2 1 Munchkin Money 5.00 3.1 6-1
7 6 Souper Striking 10.00 3.5 7-1
6 5 Inspeightof 12.00 3.6 7-1
3 2 Xenobia (IRE) 2.00 3.9 7-1
5 4 Barkaa (FR) 3.50 4.7 9-1
1 1 Daria’s Angel 1.40 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Quasar 2.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Concerned 1.60 2.2 4-1
6 6 Paint It Green 3.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 Able to Smile 4.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 Trans Mississippi 10.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Put Up R Shut Up 15.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – New York Stallion S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Newly Minted 1.20 1.8 3-1
3 2 Niko’s Dream 3.50 3.2 6-1
4 3 Sweet Meadow Mist 4.00 3.8 7-1
5 4 Kid Is Frosty 8.00 3.8 7-1
2 1 Plink Freud 15.00 5.1 10-1
8 7 Parton 20.00 5.1 10-1
7 6 Sterling Beauty 15.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Funny Money Honey 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Impetuous 3.00 1.7 3-1
8 7 Whichwaytomalibu 3.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Justintimeforwine 10.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Listentoyourheart 8.00 4.1 8-1
5 4 Cleon Jones 2.50 4.6 9-1
6 5 Khali River 8.00 4.9 9-1
7 6 Double Shot 15.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 All Guns Blazing 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Justin Vision 6.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Mitzrayim 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Bull of Bayern 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Our Destiny 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Admiral Lynch 5.00 2.1 4-1
3 2 Fortune’s Fool 6.00 2.3 4-1
4 3 Endorsed 2.50 2.7 5-1
5 4 Bernin’ Thru Gold 6.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Yamano Maker (JPN) 15.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Fortin Hill 2.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Dark N Cloudy 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – New York Stallion S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Funny Guy 3.00 3.7 7-1
5 4 Thorny Tale 5.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Analyzethisandthat 12.00 4.8 9-1
8 6 Bettor Bank On It 15.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Smooth Tales 10.00 5.2 10-1
10 8 Veterans Beach 6.00 5.2 10-1
6 5 Rinaldi 12.00 5.6 10-1
9 7 Magical Tale 20.00 6.8 13-1
11 9 Coach Villa 30.00 8.2 15-1
4 4 Blindwillie McTell 2.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Bankit 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Mike’s Girl 2.00 2.4 5-1
8 8 Kathy’s Cause 12.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Smart Throb 10.00 3.5 7-1
12 12 Tarallucci 4.00 4.5 9-1
10 10 Love That Goose 5.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Abby Normal 8.00 5.5 10-1
11 11 Street Chamber 20.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Vitanza 15.00 7.4 14-1
9 9 Aris Gal Suz 12.00 7.7 15-1
2 2 Magical Romance 30.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Cat Lady Steph 20.00 8.2 15-1
1 1 La Rubia 30.00 9.4 18-1
13 13 Funderella 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Honorable Profit 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Charming Cara 30.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Gunboat Diplomacy 4.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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