June 23, 2019 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dumbmark | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Battle N Away | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Charge Card | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ferlin Husky | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Back Page | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Prince Arlo | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tommytoshort | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gangsta Girl | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Majestic Day | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Club Soda | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | V Man | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tornado Boy | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Arrival | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Surf Shack | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Never Even Called | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Skycraft | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | He’s Cheeky | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Campioni | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Darlin Rosie | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Zaphical | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Devil’s Rose | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Konza Khrome | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Pure Blarney | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Prairie Chick | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Nook | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | The Remainder | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 1 | Dust Bowl | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 3 | Cast a Stone | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 1 | Ready’s Mission | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Warrior in Armor | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Purrfect Kitten | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 2 | Johnny Chadda | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Tio Chuy | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Cats Valentine | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hart Hills Road | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Garey Park | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kielbasa | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Alpha Boy | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Papillon | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr Haney | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Hero of Fire | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Flight Mission | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mind Trappe | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Royal Commish | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Ohio Player | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Neuqua | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Christmas Cookie | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 9 | Big Al | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ravens Reflection | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | One Way Home | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Im the Best I Know | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Offlee Fun | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Bootleggin | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Striking Heir | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Shakurr | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Angelcents | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Gotta B the Salsa | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Princess Cora | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chez Paree | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Fair Maiden | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wishing Belle | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Seldom Seen Fire | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Crafty Danzin | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Phoenix Attack | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | R Lukki Song | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Laura Attack | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.