June 22, 2019 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Magician’s Bags | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Changn Fivehundred | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kinsella | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Magic Moonlight | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Benny | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | G Road | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lool Beh | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mining for Pearls | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Snattered | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hetty G. | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Swiss Dot | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Brilliant One | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blazing Hero | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flower House | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Vincent William | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Peruvian Boy | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Go Go Girolamo | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Lipliner | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Angelcents | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Prime Nite | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Huey Attack | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | To the Bank | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Fame Is Rough | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Annie Cat | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Warrior | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lively Spell | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | McKinli’sbabyblues | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lucky At Justice | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Galilee | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Oriental Lady | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | First Hoosier | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Perfect Paradise | 5.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jukebox Money | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Spender | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cowgirl Callie | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Peace Love Bread | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Antalya | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | U Turn the Page | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Miss Bold Cat | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Circuit Reboot | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Power Cry | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Insane Lifestyle | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fist of Rage | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Deano | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Warriors Gem | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Full of Run | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Tak | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Omar Attack | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hero Tiger | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Stopshoppingamy | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Louie P | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Patsy J | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Scarlet Position | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Afooler | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Be Authentic | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bold Citizen | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Polly War Cry | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ditten Waddy | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mora Valley | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Laverns Lass | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Go Yeowomen | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Broadway Duchess | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lori’s Legacy | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hero of Gold | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dame of Thrones | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ben’s Little Cupid | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Eartha | 4.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Amsalor | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bonita Springs | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Of Note | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | On My Toes | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Put Position | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Bahama Kitten | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Odachi | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Edisto Island | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Goddess of Kip | 3.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Launch Away | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Tinderella | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Chantses | 8.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Kara’s Angel | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Loran Holiday (ARG) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.