Sports from the Basement

Arlington Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, June 22, 2019

June 22, 2019 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Magician’s Bags 5.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Changn Fivehundred 3.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 Kinsella 3.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Magic Moonlight 5.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Lucky Benny 15.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 G Road 10.00 4.5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Lool Beh 2.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Mining for Pearls 5.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Snattered 3.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Hetty G. 6.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Swiss Dot 20.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Brilliant One 3.50 5.1 10-1
7 7 Blazing Hero 20.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Flower House 12.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Vincent William 3.50 2.4 5-1
4 3 Peruvian Boy 4.50 2.5 5-1
8 7 Go Go Girolamo 5.00 3.2 6-1
9 8 Lipliner 12.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Angelcents 1.60 SCRATCH
3 2 Prime Nite 20.00 4.1 8-1
5 4 Huey Attack 20.00 4.4 8-1
7 6 To the Bank 8.00 4.4 8-1
2 1 Fame Is Rough 20.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Sweet Annie Cat 3.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Lady Warrior 3.50 2.9 5-1
1 1 Lively Spell 3.50 3.4 6-1
6 6 McKinli’sbabyblues 5.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Lucky At Justice 4.50 4.6 9-1
5 5 Miss Galilee 10.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Oriental Lady 12.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 First Hoosier 12.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Perfect Paradise 5.00 3.4 7-1
4 4 Jukebox Money 10.00 3.6 7-1
9 8 Spender 4.50 4 8-1
1 1 Cowgirl Callie 5.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Peace Love Bread 4.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Antalya 8.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 U Turn the Page 12.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Miss Bold Cat 3.50 5.3 10-1
3 3 Circuit Reboot 15.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Power Cry 5.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Insane Lifestyle 1.80 3.3 6-1
6 5 Fist of Rage 5.00 4.2 8-1
5 4 Deano 4.50 4.3 8-1
8 7 Warriors Gem 15.00 4.3 8-1
2 1 Full of Run 6.00 4.5 9-1
9 8 Tak 15.00 5.4 10-1
4 3 Omar Attack 12.00 5.8 11-1
7 6 Hero Tiger 12.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Stopshoppingamy 1.80 1.7 3-1
5 5 Louie P 6.00 4 8-1
6 6 Patsy J 8.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Scarlet Position 15.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Afooler 5.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Be Authentic 3.50 4.8 9-1
4 4 Bold Citizen 20.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Polly War Cry 15.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Ditten Waddy 15.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Mora Valley 4.50 SCRATCH
8 7 Laverns Lass 8.00 4.1 8-1
9 8 Go Yeowomen 5.00 4.1 8-1
10 9 Broadway Duchess 3.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Lori’s Legacy 5.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Hero of Gold 20.00 4.7 9-1
7 6 Dame of Thrones 15.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Ben’s Little Cupid 30.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 Eartha 4.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Amsalor 15.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Bonita Springs 3.00 3.3 6-1
13 13 Of Note 1.40 SCRATCH
8 7 On My Toes 4.50 3.7 7-1
7 7 Put Position 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Bahama Kitten 10.00 5 9-1
4 4 Odachi 12.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Edisto Island 15.00 6 11-1
3 3 Goddess of Kip 3.50 6.6 12-1
2 2 Launch Away 20.00 7.2 14-1
10 9 Tinderella 15.00 7.9 15-1
9 8 Chantses 8.00 8.2 16-1
12 10 Kara’s Angel 30.00 9.3 18-1
11 11 Loran Holiday (ARG) 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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