Sports from the Basement

Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, June 21, 2019

June 21, 2019 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Incredible Miss 0.80 1.7 3-1
2 2 Rose of Dublin 3.50 2.1 4-1
3 3 Know Point Given 6.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Ask Contrition 12.00 4.5 9-1
6 5 Adhafera 10.00 4.8 9-1
7 6 Plimsoll Anny 15.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Flying Pleasantly 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Kuduro 3.00 2.1 4-1
4 3 Cucina 3.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Turbo Drive 4.50 2.7 5-1
6 5 Hai Bobbi 4.00 2.8 5-1
3 2 Doc Boy 8.00 4.2 8-1
5 4 Shandian 15.00 4.9 9-1
8 7 It’s Kite Pazible 8.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Percentage 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Steam Engine 5.00 2.8 5-1
9 7 New York Hero 12.00 4.3 8-1
3 2 Mystical Song 4.00 4.8 9-1
11 9 Foolish Ghost 6.00 5.5 10-1
7 6 Kadens Courage 12.00 5.7 11-1
4 3 Bronx Bomber 12.00 6 11-1
5 4 Sams Last Ghasp 15.00 6 11-1
13 10 Cause for Applause 10.00 6.9 13-1
6 5 Bydawnsearlylight 10.00 6.9 13-1
10 8 Constant Knight 12.00 8.3 16-1
1 1 Canarsie Kid 1.60 SCRATCH
8 8 Nutzforboltz 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Market Bubble 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Papa Shot 4.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Starship Zeus 2.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 American Lincoln 8.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Eagle Pass 1.20 SCRATCH
5 5 D T Goodie 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Bitumen 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Ragtime Suzy 8.00 2 4-1
7 3 Solitary Gem 10.00 2.5 5-1
8 4 Tappanzee 15.00 3.2 6-1
4 2 Needs No Ice 12.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Architect 3.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Roses From Ben 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Kickin Kimberly 3.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Appreciate 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Mamma Dee 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 2 Fortin Hill 1.00 1.5 3-1
9 3 Morning Breez 4.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Dark N Cloudy 6.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Il Primo Sole (GB) 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Mutakatif (IRE) 1.40 SCRATCH
4 4 Banana Thief 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Lonhtwist 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Shiraz 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Discretionary Marq 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Colonel Tom 5.00 SCRATCH
11 11 All Systems Go 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 4 Montauk Daddy 4.00 2.7 5-1
7 5 Tuggle 3.50 2.9 5-1
3 1 Kokokomo 5.00 2.9 6-1
8 6 Chimney Rock 5.00 2.9 6-1
4 2 Cloudbased 8.00 5.1 10-1
5 3 Apollo’s Abraxas 30.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Invader 2.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Now Is 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 3 Everybody Loves Me 20.00 3.7 7-1
9 5 Slimey 20.00 3.9 7-1
10 6 Brooke Marie 4.00 4.1 8-1
7 4 Miss Mystique 12.00 4.2 8-1
3 1 Out of Trouble 6.00 4.3 8-1
13A 7 No Deal 1.60 4.7 9-1
5A 2 Out of Orbit 1.60 5.7 11-1
1 1 Tide Storm 6.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Cache 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Catch a Thrill 3.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Princess Peggy 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Golconda (FR) 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Helen’s Tiger 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Odie 2.50 1.9 4-1
7 6 Pickle Rick 2.00 2.4 5-1
6 5 Dr. Devera’s Way 12.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Johnny Wishbone 6.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Make Munny Moves 12.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Smidge 12.00 5.6 11-1
8 7 Indigestion 15.00 5.6 11-1
9 8 Ummu Ummu Ummu 20.00 6.1 11-1
5 5 Our Honor 4.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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