Sports from the Basement

Arlington Horse Racing Picks for Friday, June 21, 2019

June 21, 2019 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Barnyard Fiddler 3.00 3 6-1
6 6 Roarin Missile 5.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Sunny’s Rainbow 3.50 3.3 6-1
4 4 Smokey Row Mac 2.50 3.7 7-1
1 1 Vbreeze 12.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Legendary Larry 3.50 3.8 7-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Maria’s Moment 8.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Bold Esther 3.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Amazing Annie 8.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Saint Alexius 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Hat Tip 8.00 3.8 7-1
8 6 Ragatagtag 3.00 4.1 8-1
5 4 Thea Bee 3.50 4.4 8-1
3 3 Buywon Getwon 4.50 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Treasure in Heaven 5.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Speed Devil 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Of Note 1.40 SCRATCH
3 2 Tasseography 4.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Crusader Girl Too 6.00 4.4 8-1
4 3 Gwendalyn Sue 3.50 4.4 8-1
5 4 Dutch Treat 4.50 4.4 8-1
7 6 Warrior’s Way 4.50 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Full Count 3.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Ginger Snap Dance 12.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Token Vow 5.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Glamala 6.00 5.3 10-1
11 11 Helen Hayes 3.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Rocket Queen 6.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Chrome Attack 30.00 6.7 13-1
10 10 Karate Hottie 12.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 Logi 20.00 7.6 14-1
13 13 Fortressa 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Royalty Princess 30.00 7.9 15-1
12 11 Shez a Queenie 20.00 8.4 16-1
8 8 Annie Time Girl 20.00 8.9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Copper Mountain 2.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Unbridled Ruler 4.50 2.8 5-1
7 6 My Golden Diablo 3.00 3.7 7-1
8 7 Bold Attack 20.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Stand With Honor 6.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Suprise Cat 3.50 4.9 9-1
5 5 Carrymeon 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Mister Charming 8.00 6.1 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Rich Tradition 3.50 3.6 7-1
9 9 Orbert 6.00 4 8-1
11 11 Off to the Beach 4.50 4.6 9-1
3 3 Peppermint Crunch 12.00 5.5 10-1
12 12 Foggy Albion 5.00 5.8 11-1
14 14 Mummy Troll 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Imperial Express 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Don Curlione 8.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 First Masamune 10.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 McLance 20.00 7 13-1
4 4 The Kahn 6.00 7.1 13-1
8 8 Ice Machine 20.00 8.6 16-1
10 10 Borodino 30.00 10.1 19-1
2 2 Captain Carnegie 30.00 11.1 21-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Lemon Gal 3.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Lavina 10.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Summer Blossom 3.50 3.7 7-1
7 7 My Jilly 10.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Chainmail 3.50 4.9 9-1
6 6 Sister Alexa 15.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Russian Mafia 4.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Cholla 15.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Cooler Schedule 12.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Tommytoshort 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Alex’s Strike 5.00 2.7 5-1
11 11 Impressed 2.50 2.9 5-1
4 4 Cantrell Hill 8.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 W W Kan Do 8.00 5 9-1
1 1 Bookie’s Blues 15.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Hurricane Highway 3.00 6 11-1
3 3 Creme de Cerise 20.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Kissedthegirls 30.00 7 13-1
8 8 Prince Zar 15.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Imperial Temple 20.00 7.2 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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