Sports from the Basement

Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, June 20, 2019

June 20, 2019 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Playthatfunnymusic 1.40 2.7 5-1
3 3 Toohottoevenspeak 3.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Analyze the Odds 2.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Blame the Thief 5.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Trance 20.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Ten Twenty Nine 8.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Exceed the Goal 1.80 SCRATCH
6 4 Wildcat Belle 4.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Riot Worthy 5.00 SCRATCH
5 3 Moondance Joy 2.00 3.2 6-1
3 2 Malarkey 6.00 3.7 7-1
2 1 E Warfare 12.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Meet Me in L A 1.20 1.9 4-1
3 3 Spice Road 2.50 2.4 4-1
2 2 Azrael 4.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Sagaponack 3.50 3.4 6-1
4 4 Golden Tapit 8.00 3.4 6-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 My Last Million 3.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Behind the Couch 1.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Not About the Nail 3.00 3 6-1
3 3 Maiden Beauty 5.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Party in the Sand 10.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Peaches and Spice 20.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Kit Kat Katie 2.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Classy Sadie 4.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Morality Clause 4.50 SCRATCH
5 4 Miss Marissa 12.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Secure Connection 6.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Fancy Persuasion 2.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Lil Morning Star 20.00 4.1 8-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Ratajkowski 1.20 1.8 3-1
4 4 Blame It On Mom 3.50 2.4 5-1
2 2 Tossup 5.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Appletini 12.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Queenofeverything 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Summer Fantasy 20.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Bull Feathers 30.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Moon Heist 12.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Our Craftys Legacy 15.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3A 3 Cartwheel 8.00 2.7 5-1
9 6 Factoring 8.00 2.8 5-1
5 4 Ladrona 8.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Dancingwthdaffodls 12.00 3.8 7-1
6 5 Theodosia 10.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Codrington 4.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Discreet Image 3.50 4.4 8-1
7 7 Red Curls 3.00 SCRATCH
4A 4 Puffery 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Theaterintheround 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Uncle Sigh 4.50 2.9 5-1
8 8 Blugrascat’s Smile 8.00 3.4 7-1
7 7 San Juan Diego 12.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Real Dan 4.50 4 8-1
4 4 Storm Prophet 2.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Vincento 6.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 J J’s Dreaming 4.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Broadway Bay 15.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Kerry’s Ring 1.60 SCRATCH
13 5 Amos 2.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Honorable Rose 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Running On Entry 6.00 SCRATCH
6 3 Singular Sensation 12.00 4.6 9-1
11 4 Two Graces 12.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Barton Hall 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Dearly Declared 2.50 SCRATCH
3 1 Dancing Slippers 30.00 6.4 12-1
12 12 Daddysneverready 15.00 SCRATCH
5 2 Keepmyeyeontheboys 30.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Sandra’s Mine 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Mickey Diamond 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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