Sports from the Basement

Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, June 19, 2019

June 19, 2019 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Bid You Adieu 5.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 It’s a Shaw Thing 3.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Evan’s Nice Now 2.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Big Bennys Tribute 1.40 3.7 7-1
5 5 Ramblin’ Ma’am 8.00 3.8 7-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 5 Linda’s Ballet 2.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Freddymo Factor 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Plink Freud 2.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Lookbothways 8.00 3.6 7-1
7 4 Filly Dilly 4.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Pendolino 12.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Fight On Lucy 3.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 A Little Faith 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Tiz R Bella 1.60 2.8 5-1
6 6 Moment of Triumph 10.00 2.9 6-1
5A 5 Tayler’s the Boss 4.00 3 6-1
3 3 Tee Up 10.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Golden Vale 2.50 3.7 7-1
4 4 Jazzy J 5.00 4.5 9-1
1A 1 Midnitesalright 4.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Zecha 15.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Ari’s Naughty Luca 0.80 1.9 4-1
4 3 Bad Sueno 2.50 2.7 5-1
1 1 Ridolfo 10.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Tio Blas 5.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Asher the Dasher 15.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 The Paper Wazoo 12.00 4.6 9-1
5 4 Well in Tune 30.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Grandmas Favorite 2.50 SCRATCH
9 5 Amistad 2.00 2.4 5-1
7 3 Thenorthremembers 6.00 2.5 5-1
2 1 Lundqvist 6.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Skychief 4.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Cool Your Boots 12.00 SCRATCH
8 4 El Fenomeno 15.00 5.4 10-1
5 2 Monmouth Dr 5.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Cain V and D C 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Ray’swarrior 1.00 1.9 4-1
3 2 Bon Raison 2.00 2.7 5-1
4 3 Missle Bomb 5.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Potomac 3.50 SCRATCH
5 4 Fixed Point 20.00 3.4 7-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 3 Decorating 3.00 2.2 4-1
7 4 Beau Belle 4.00 2.7 5-1
9 6 Mercy Mercy 5.00 3.2 6-1
8 5 Mrs. Got Rocks 4.50 4.7 9-1
3 3 Estill 10.00 SCRATCH
4 1 Coilean Bawn 15.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Amarone 15.00 SCRATCH
5 2 Pallas Athene 12.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Monhegan 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Proven Reserves 0.80 2.5 5-1
6 6 Twisted Tom 3.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Giuseppe the Great 12.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 American Tattoo (ARG) 3.50 3.7 7-1
5 5 Holiday Bonus 20.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Dynamax Prime 6.00 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 No Mo Promises 3.00 SCRATCH
4 3 All Clear 4.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Letzgometz 6.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Poppy Joe Rocks 4.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Yes and Yes 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 La Maquina Gris 8.00 4.5 9-1
6 4 City Traveler 12.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Nicki de Nephew 4.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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