June 16, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Niigon’s Bay | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Now Play Nice | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mystic Nile | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Crumlin Queen | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sailor’s Thought | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stop Who’s That | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Never Sober | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Zindigo | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Moonstone | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Red Riot | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Desdemona | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Biddy Early | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tiz Priceless | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gypsy Jazz | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Golden Vision | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Jungle Fighter | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Follow My Lead | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Courtly Manner | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Souper Fly Over | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sine Metu | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nestleton Hush | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lord Wimborne (IRE) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Fritzie’s Boy | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Trebek | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Toxicologist | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Hit the Ticket | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Bay of Rum | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Miriam’s Sky | 10.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dot’s Last Call | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Slam | 12.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Street Cat Sam | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kitten’s Dilemma | 20.00 | 14.1 | 27-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sevencomingout | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | A Rated Breeze | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Clear Destination | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mr. Hustle | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Muskoka Storm | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Forester’s Fortune | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Trinity Thundah | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Power of Intention | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Different Days | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Windchill Zar | 12.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Guns Down | 10.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shangassah | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Poquito Bandito | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Zoomer Music | 3.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Spring Edition | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Crime Wave | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bee Keeper | 8.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Just for Rose | 15.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Laser Light | 10.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Just Run With It | 10.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Leopoldo | 10.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Strikecrest | 12.00 | 13.8 | 26-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Stop the Humbug | 15.00 | 14.5 | 27-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kyslios’s Justice | 20.00 | 15.2 | 29-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Our Uncle Drew | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Wincredible Star | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Keep Your Word | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Soul n’ Spirit | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Bernotchie | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vedder | 1.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Get the News | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lassiter | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | In Memory of Floyd | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thxforbeinmyfriend | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Colonel Talbot | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Keen Artie | 15.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cabertoss | 8.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Trillium S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tapa Tapa Tapa | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dixie Moon | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | She’s the Berries | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Summer Luck | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lunar Garden | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Mo Mentum | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Hot Cash | 8.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Ladies Night | 12.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bear Paw | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Giovanna Blues | 12.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cartabianca (FR) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Are You Kidding Me | 0.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fire for Effect | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | King and His Court | 2.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Aheadbyacentury | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Revved Up | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Freitag | 15.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | White Wedding | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cerrado | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Denmark | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | G Prince of Silver | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ingordwetrust | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | A Song for Artie | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lucky Street | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cash Advance | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Harpy Eagle | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Overbearing | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Quality Brew | 6.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Star Conqueror | 20.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Standing Reserve | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Fortheboys | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.