Sports from the Basement

Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, June 16, 2019

June 16, 2019 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Laura’s Posse 1.20 2.7 5-1
2 2 Flatexcel 3.00 3 6-1
3 3 Unsullied 1.80 3.1 6-1
4 4 Equal the Score 8.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Swiping Dan 8.00 4.1 8-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Sheikha Mo 4.00 3.6 7-1
6 5 Tiz Her Way 30.00 3.9 7-1
7 6 Ghostly Beauty 1.60 4.2 8-1
1 1 Tiple (IRE) 2.00 4.3 8-1
4 3 G. T. Sonia 15.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Hottie Stiletto 15.00 4.6 9-1
5A 4 Seattle Frost 30.00 7.7 14-1
9 8 Isabelle’s Joy 5.00 7.7 14-1
3A 3 Our Craftys Legacy 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 G Zap 2.00 1.9 3-1
2 1 Sandy Lane 4.50 2.2 4-1
5 3 Leitone (CHI) 1.40 2.3 4-1
1 1 Cause I’m Alex 4.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Old Upstart 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Six Percent 2.50 2.1 4-1
6 5 Daddy Knows 1.80 3.2 6-1
5 4 Seven Is Heaven 3.50 3.8 7-1
3 2 Quiet Out East 3.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Coolboy 20.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Pier Forty 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 6 Lemonist 2.00 2.5 5-1
4 3 Argonne 1.80 3.4 6-1
3 2 Botswana 10.00 3.8 7-1
2 1 Royal Albert Hall (GB) 8.00 3.9 7-1
7 5 Winter Union 3.50 4.5 9-1
5 4 Sentry 5.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Turco Bravo (CHI) 2.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Twisted Tom 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Blue Jean Kitten 4.00 3 6-1
5 5 Seeking Revenge 15.00 4.9 9-1
7 6 Team Win 3.50 5.3 10-1
8 7 Weekend Madness 10.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Claddagh’s Run 4.50 5.5 10-1
4 4 General June 15.00 5.7 11-1
11 9 Art Thief 6.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 City Fun 6.00 6.8 13-1
9 8 Bizness Beauty 30.00 7 13-1
6 6 Know Point Given 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Andi’s Kitten 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Timber Ghost 2.50 1.7 3-1
3 2 Tour de Force 3.00 2.6 5-1
6 5 Roaming Union 8.00 3.3 6-1
4 3 Backsideofthemoon 4.50 3.6 7-1
2 1 Lenstar 15.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Expert 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Poker S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Gucci Factor 5.00 2.7 5-1
8 7 Breaking the Rules 6.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Clyde’s Image 3.50 4 8-1
6 6 Ticonderoga 5.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Krampus 10.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Hembree 12.00 4.7 9-1
9 8 Dr. Edgar 3.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Master Merion 15.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Therapist 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Schwarbertown 3.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Lorcan 5.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Suremoney 8.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Wisecrack 15.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Mounted Cop 15.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Burkey’s Bro 6.00 6.3 12-1
12 11 Fortune’s Boy 12.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 The Confidante 4.50 6.4 12-1
13 12 Awesome Mystery 15.00 7 13-1
11 10 Blue Skies Forever 20.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 Ed’s Pet 20.00 8.3 16-1
4 4 Gratto Swing 20.00 8.5 16-1
10 10 Well in Tune 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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