Sports from the Basement

Arlington Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, June 16, 2019

June 16, 2019 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Wile E Peyote 6.00 2.9 5-1
5 4 Smoke ‘n’ Gloat 5.00 3 6-1
2 2 Our Thomas 3.50 SCRATCH
4 3 Archiemyboy 3.50 3.2 6-1
3 2 Richiesgotswagger 6.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Bulldog of Bergen 2.00 4.7 9-1
7 6 Go Oshie Go 15.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Elusive Force 3.50 2.9 5-1
1 1 Greeleys Ice 2.50 3.1 6-1
3 3 City Position 8.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Codetowin 8.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Drama Star 3.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Mighty Might 8.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Fern 15.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Temple Zip 20.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Pleasant Street 6.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Hero of Fire 3.50 2.9 5-1
6 6 Mr Haney 3.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Stealthy Traveler 12.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Landing Gear 20.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Hide the Evidence 3.50 4.6 9-1
5 5 Trumpified 20.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Runningfromthefeds 5.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Purely Boy 4.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Arrival 6.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Frost Or Frippery 3.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Antrim’s Giant 15.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Baroque 4.50 4.7 9-1
8 8 Rio Seco 15.00 6 11-1
5 5 Hero Tiger 3.50 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Cast Iron 2.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Hawk’s Image 3.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 New Dancer 10.00 4.2 8-1
7 6 Citali 6.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Mr D’s Way 6.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Side Pocket 8.00 4.5 9-1
9 7 Croce d’Oro 8.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Romeo O Romeo 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Zanforce 30.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Nuclear Option 6.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Gorgeous George 3.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Driven by History 12.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Tringale 4.00 3.8 7-1
6 5 What’s Up Dude 2.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Malraux 15.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Student Body Left 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Miss Izzy 3.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Run Wrightaway 2.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 U R My Sunshine 5.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Tomasita 12.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 War Beauty 4.00 SCRATCH
6 6 American Biz 3.50 4.6 9-1
5 5 Twilight Warrior 20.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Valid Storm 3.00 2.8 5-1
3 2 Northern Fire 3.50 2.9 6-1
1 1 Dust Bowl 4.50 SCRATCH
4 3 Tuff Attack 15.00 3.8 7-1
6 5 Gusano 4.00 4.1 8-1
8 7 He’s Thunder 20.00 5.1 10-1
5 4 Glen’s My Friend 12.00 5.1 10-1
2 1 El Payaso 6.00 5.3 10-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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