June 15, 2019 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Sacramento Q | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Carmelo | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Al Taweel | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Pistol Box | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Jimmy D | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spectacular Act | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Voluptuous | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Rhapsody | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cooper’s Keeper | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sperling | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Uknowiaintlying | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chosen Facts | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Little Chick | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Dark Ninja | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Prince Abubu | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | The Dogmen | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tres Generaciones | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tio Chuy | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sequins Storm | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tornado Boy | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lady Furbein | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Queens Day Victory | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hero of Gold | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dancing Well | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lookin At Vanessa | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ice for That Burn | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Harbor Gold | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | No Smokin Here | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Midnight Sway | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Lightscameraaction | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Indigo Gin | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sky Freak | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | City Diva | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hana Highway | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gizmo | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Alizee | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Russian Mafia | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Luna Fortis | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Good Mongolia | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Straight Up Smarty | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rachelgotstephen | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Turkmenistan | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Pierette | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sharing a Laugh | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Maria Rose | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Real de Jalpa | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fringe | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Have the Facts | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Brother Cesare | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Macho Alpha | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Baba Tobi | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Offlee Fun | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Richiesonarampage | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Country Cool | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Magician’s Bags | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Willow Ridge | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | Journeyman | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Thenextbestthing | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Wrath | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Carrymeon | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Louie’s Kingdom | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Ronamo | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Hello America | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Ekaterinoslav | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hard Story | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 10 | Old Fort | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Bookie’s Blues | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 7 | Warrior in Armor | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Minerunner | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Z U Now | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Purely Boy | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Half of Manhattan | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Letthebigshot Roll | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 6 | Orcus | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Giacallure | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cadet Captain | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fleetway | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Golden Dart | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | All Call | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 4 | Candy My Boy | 4.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Suspenders | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.