Sports from the Basement

Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, June 14, 2019

June 14, 2019 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Tempers Way 1.40 1.8 3-1
1 1 Handle With Care 6.00 3.2 6-1
7 5 Love That Goose 5.00 3.4 6-1
8 6 Weekend Forecast 20.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Joule 10.00 4.7 9-1
5 4 Sarah’s Rainbow 50.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Fika 4.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Big Expense 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Elektronic 1.60 2.9 5-1
7 6 Fast Getaway 2.00 3 6-1
5 5 Ready to Escape 6.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Mango M 3.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Ghost Giant 12.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Cloontia 10.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 O Shea Can U See 2.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Big Gemmy 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Inclunation 1.80 2.3 4-1
3 3 Unbridled Mesa 4.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Storm Rider 10.00 3.2 6-1
5 4 Ninja Dust 15.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Evan 15.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Ari’s Naughty Luca 1.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 3 Mobridge 0.80 2.8 5-1
1 1 Tiz a Chance 2.00 3.1 6-1
9 6 Peculiar Sensation 12.00 3.9 7-1
5 2 The Crocheron Kid 5.00 4 7-1
7 4 Big Thicket 8.00 4.4 8-1
8 5 Scrutinize 30.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Analyze the Odds 1.20 SCRATCH
3 3 Playthatfunnymusic 2.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Blame the Thief 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Yankee Empire 3.50 3.1 6-1
2 1 Violator 2.00 3.8 7-1
5 4 Three Technique 2.50 4.5 9-1
3 2 Took Charge 8.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Best Surprise Ever 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Another Miracle 4.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Lucky E 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 The Last Zip 3.50 1.9 4-1
4 3 Doswell 2.00 2.8 5-1
5 4 Taamer 8.00 3.6 7-1
6 5 Tiberius Mercurius 6.00 4.8 9-1
7 6 Camouflaged Kisser 30.00 5.8 11-1
3 2 Noble Spirit 12.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Perceived 5.00 6.6 12-1
8 7 Foti 10.00 7.3 14-1
2 2 Ownitifyouwantit 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Rally Cap 1.60 2.8 5-1
4 4 I Saw It All 15.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Jemography 12.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Stink Man 3.50 4.7 9-1
2 2 Dr. Lloyd 5.00 5 9-1
5 5 Fleet Warrior 12.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Threatlovesmidnite 10.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 Shock Therapy 10.00 7.2 14-1
8 8 Bustin Shout 8.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Proud O’Paddy 12.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Violet Blue 3.50 4.5 9-1
2 2 Romantic Moment 5.00 4.6 9-1
7 6 Lemon Zip 8.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 War Canoe 10.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Layla Noor 8.00 5.3 10-1
8 7 Pollara (IRE) 1.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Free Kitty 0.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 6 Fetching 3.50 2.9 5-1
10 8 Lady Love 5.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Paved With Gold 3.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Flush 5.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Dynamite Kitten 4.50 5 9-1
12 10 Ascender 15.00 6.2 12-1
11 9 Y’allcomenow 20.00 6.2 12-1
9 7 Miss Jen 8.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Puparee 30.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Ok Honey 30.00 8.1 15-1
6 6 Peaches and Spice 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Not About the Nail 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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