June 14, 2019 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tempers Way | 1.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Handle With Care | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Love That Goose | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Weekend Forecast | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Joule | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sarah’s Rainbow | 50.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fika | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Big Expense | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Elektronic | 1.60 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Fast Getaway | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ready to Escape | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mango M | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ghost Giant | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cloontia | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | O Shea Can U See | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Big Gemmy | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Inclunation | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Unbridled Mesa | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Storm Rider | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ninja Dust | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Evan | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ari’s Naughty Luca | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 3 | Mobridge | 0.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz a Chance | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Peculiar Sensation | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | The Crocheron Kid | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Big Thicket | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Scrutinize | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Analyze the Odds | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Playthatfunnymusic | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Blame the Thief | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Yankee Empire | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Violator | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Three Technique | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Took Charge | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Best Surprise Ever | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Another Miracle | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Lucky E | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | The Last Zip | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Doswell | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Taamer | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tiberius Mercurius | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Camouflaged Kisser | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Noble Spirit | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Perceived | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Foti | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ownitifyouwantit | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Rally Cap | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I Saw It All | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jemography | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stink Man | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dr. Lloyd | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fleet Warrior | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Threatlovesmidnite | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shock Therapy | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bustin Shout | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Proud O’Paddy | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Violet Blue | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Romantic Moment | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lemon Zip | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | War Canoe | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Layla Noor | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Pollara (IRE) | 1.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Free Kitty | 0.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Fetching | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Lady Love | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Paved With Gold | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flush | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dynamite Kitten | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Ascender | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Y’allcomenow | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Miss Jen | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Puparee | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ok Honey | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Peaches and Spice | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Not About the Nail | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.