Sports from the Basement

Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, June 12, 2019

June 12, 2019 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Machine Learning 2.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Soul Fight 8.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Revenio 10.00 2.9 6-1
5 5 Zorbed 0.80 2.9 6-1
1 1 Freedom Prince 4.50 3.7 7-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 First Forever 0.80 1.7 3-1
6 6 Saratoga Style 3.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Mary’s Girl 6.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Fair Lassie 5.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Infatuation 8.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Caralicious 12.00 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 American Song 3.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Kiss the Girl 1.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Sweet Kisses 1.60 2.6 5-1
2 2 Positive Power 15.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Launch Sequence 12.00 3.3 6-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Autostrade 3.50 SCRATCH
9 5 Battle of Blenheim 1.40 3.7 7-1
1 1 Stormy Justin 6.00 4 8-1
5 2 Zap Daddy 4.50 4.2 8-1
6 6 Big Gemmy 2.50 SCRATCH
7 3 Bootlegger (FR) 8.00 4.7 9-1
8 4 Heavy Meddle 10.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Mohican 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Twelfthofneverland 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Ten Twenty Nine 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Tiz No Bluff 1.60 2.1 4-1
7 7 Fed Fever 1.80 2.7 5-1
6 6 Eddy Dirt 3.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Run for Boston 6.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Poker Game 10.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Fotis 30.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Won’t Be Missed 20.00 6.1 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 14 Gunboat Diplomacy 5.00 SCRATCH
7 6 My First Gal 6.00 4.3 8-1
16 16 Daddysneverready 12.00 SCRATCH
9 8 Mz Seb Pat 8.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Galadriel’s Light 2.50 5.2 10-1
3 3 Honorable Profit 15.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Frosty Linz 15.00 6.3 12-1
15 15 Youth Gone Wild 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Fika 3.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Kris d’Oro 12.00 SCRATCH
11 9 Dontcallmefrancis 10.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Pretty Spectacular 12.00 7.5 14-1
8 7 Charming Cara 20.00 8.4 16-1
13 13 Kitty Therapy 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Sweet Breeze 30.00 10 19-1
10 10 Fusi 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Walkoff 2.50 2.5 5-1
6 5 Creative Style 4.50 3.2 6-1
5 4 Trustworthy 1.60 3.6 7-1
3 3 Raphael 20.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Rucksack 4.00 4.3 8-1
7 6 Ocean Monarch 8.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Bronxville 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 9 High Jingo 3.00 2.5 5-1
10 8 First Appeal 8.00 2.9 6-1
15 15 Archumybaby 4.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Broken Border 4.50 5.4 10-1
13 13 Our Super Nova 3.50 SCRATCH
9 7 Sunshine Gal 10.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Alabama Bound 10.00 6.8 13-1
12 10 Belle of the Spa 8.00 7 13-1
4 3 Pinchbeck 15.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 Starlite Mission 15.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Bertranda 12.00 7.7 15-1
6 5 Saratoga Treasure 6.00 8.3 16-1
5 4 Vip Nation 10.00 9.2 17-1
14 14 Cartwheel 8.00 SCRATCH
8A 8 Timely Tradition 2.50 SCRATCH
16A 16 Fair Regis 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 No Fly Zone 2.50 3.1 6-1
5 5 Givetheman a Cigar 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Mintz 1.60 SCRATCH
9 6 Violent Delights 8.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Gallant Bid 5.00 SCRATCH
4 4 No Regrets 3.50 4.7 9-1
3 3 Bettor Bank On It 4.50 4.7 9-1
2 2 Elenzee 8.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Mend Up 15.00 6.9 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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