June 9, 2019 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Word of Truth | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Davka | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tee Tee | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | A J’s Posse | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kyzan | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flat Out Fast | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Smokey Row Mac | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Trappe Valley | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Our Thomas | 1.40 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ohio Player | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | P R Radio Star | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Grey Mask | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | New Dancer | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tiz Samurai | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Clear N Convincing | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Rhythmia | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Delta Levy | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miracle Mountain | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Two Pair | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | He’s Cheeky | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Zanforce | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Embarrassing | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Royal’s Position | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Strollin the Bayou | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Oh So Terrible | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mo’s M V P | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Drinks On Me | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fizzy Friday (GB) | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ima Little Kitten | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Musical Interest | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Wellfield | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Johnny Chadda | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Roul the Ice | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Musket Hunter | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Sertoman | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Prince Attack | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sonero | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Riv | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shanghai Point | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Rivzinthehouse | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Go Vo | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Jive Daddy | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mini Miles | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Amaroq | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | M C Squared | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Gray Mensch | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Boston Charley | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Burnside | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Birdsnest Party | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fashion Decree | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cave Run | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Farat | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | American Heritage | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Pont Du Gard | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Campioni | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Hero Tiger | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sailing Solo | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Changi | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Of Note | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bahama Kitten | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Put Position | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | On My Toes | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Northern Alliance | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Odachi | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Wildwood Scat | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tinderella | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Chlobee | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Loran Holiday (ARG) | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.