June 7, 2019 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ahead of Plan | 1.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sneakiness | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Four Ten | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Just for One Day | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Per Capita | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Double Orb | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Swick | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mucho Sunshine | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Andretta | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Prisoner’s Dilemma | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Memories Eternal | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lead Guitar | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | J J Jen | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Noble Jewel | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Valencia Vale | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Here Comes Meg | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bourbon High | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Freudycatfever | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Funderella | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 5 | Kulik Bear | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 3 | Valid Point | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Shootin the Breeze | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Principled | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Oggonis | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Largent | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Wild Medagliad’oro | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 4 | Jerome Avenue | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mental Model | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Mo Gotcha | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Ventus | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Sicilia Mike | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Binkster | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | H Man | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Caretaker | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Empire Line | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bluegrass Express | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fiery Opal | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Manifest Destiny | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vicar’s Legend | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Bed O’ Roses Invitational S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Chalon | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dawn the Destroyer | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Separationofpowers | 2.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Spring in the Wind | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Mybigitalianfriend | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Pacific Gale | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Saguaro Row | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 8 | Annals of Time | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Big Handsome | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Have At It | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Awesome Saturday | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Zapperini | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Gidu (IRE) | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Expert | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Noble Indy | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Multiplier | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lenstar | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | V. I. P. Code | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Tremont S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Rookie Salsa | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Maven | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Dixie Mo | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Theitalianamerican | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Memorable | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Fore Left | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Now Is | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Federale | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – True North S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Catalina Cruiser | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Recruiting Ready | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Whitmore | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Do Share | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Gold for the King | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Strike Power | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Nicodemus | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Stan the Man | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Mr. Dougie Fresh | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bon Raison | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – New York S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Competitionofideas | 2.50 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Homerique | 1.20 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Holy Helena | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Giant Zinger | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Semper Sententiae | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Montdore | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vexatious | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Matty’s Magnum | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Belmont Gold Cup Invitational S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Red Knight | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Arklow | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Canessar (FR) | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Noble Thought | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hunter O’Riley | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Highland Sky | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mootasadir (GB) | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Raa Atoll (GB) | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Amade (IRE) | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Lila Ruth | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smoken Deb | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Funny Money Honey | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Ailish | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ragtime Suzy | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Derby Day Jewel | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Appreciate | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Queen Kahen | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Movie Score | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Brass Ring | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Roses From Ben | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.