Churchill Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, June 6, 2019

June 6, 2019 Churchill Downs Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Alec and Arthur 2.00 1.7 3-1
7 6 Secretly Wicked 3.00 3.1 6-1
3 2 Monedas de Oro 5.00 3.1 6-1
6 5 Street Flyer 5.00 3.4 6-1
4 3 Jamming Cameron 6.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Megan Marie 6.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Hard Code SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 La Femme Royale 3.50 2.9 6-1
3 2 Gemini Journey 12.00 3.1 6-1
5 4 Starlight Express 3.00 3.3 6-1
7 6 Tenpins Tempo 6.00 3.4 6-1
4 3 Courtmewithcarats 8.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Parking Ticket 5.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Alittlecomplicated SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Pocket Personality 5.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Jacktastic 2.50 3.3 6-1
4 4 Laser Loop 3.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Trappezoid 12.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Undercover Lover 6.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Westwood Proud 10.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Cheytac 4.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Sambucca 12.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 5 Street Trust 4.00 3.1 6-1
7 3 Pear Lemonade 12.00 3.4 6-1
12 7 Candy Carlos 3.00 3.4 6-1
6 2 Gettysburg 3.50 4.1 8-1
8 4 Curlins Vow 15.00 4.3 8-1
3 1 Mono 6.00 4.3 8-1
11 6 Satellite 4.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Mark My Way SCRATCH
5 5 Hay Dakota SCRATCH
1 1 Nileator SCRATCH
2 2 Timbrook SCRATCH
9 9 Slim Shadey (GB) SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bird Dog 4.50 3.5 7-1
6 6 Judge Stanton 4.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Homeview 12.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Clipboard Money 4.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Gambit 4.50 4.9 9-1
8 8 Ruling Empire 12.00 5.4 10-1
12 12 Hypersonic 10.00 5.9 11-1
11 11 Wicked Gem 30.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 More Than Stature 8.00 6.9 13-1
10 10 Westgate 12.00 8.5 16-1
5 5 Kinchman 15.00 8.8 17-1
9 9 Pitman Valley 30.00 9.6 18-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Ike Walker 4.00 3.1 6-1
7 5 Bow and Arrow 5.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Rich Daddy 4.00 3.4 6-1
10 8 Italian Charm 8.00 3.5 7-1
9 7 Chief Know It All 6.00 3.5 7-1
4 3 U S Marshal 15.00 5.8 11-1
8 6 California Swing 10.00 5.8 11-1
6 4 Switheral 30.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Shut the Box SCRATCH
3 3 Imperative SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Lady Mamba 5.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Focused 5.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Even Beat 6.00 3.5 7-1
11 11 Nocturnal Mission 12.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Avenida Manana 15.00 5 9-1
3 3 Vinca 12.00 5.1 10-1
12 12 Domonette 10.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Bohemian Bourbon 10.00 5.8 11-1
10 10 Flat Meadow SCRATCH
5 5 Africa (FR) SCRATCH
1 1 Fancy Fox SCRATCH
2 2 Libby Knows SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Grade 3.50 2.9 6-1
4 4 Sea Shark 3.00 3 6-1
6 6 Midland 6.00 3.4 6-1
10 10 Linemaker 8.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Brightworthy 4.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Tramore Bay 10.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Southern Humor 12.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Pull My Chain 12.00 6.6 12-1
9 9 Young Lochinvar 15.00 7.9 15-1
1 1 Survey SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.