June 2, 2019 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Farmer Joe |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Shez Stuck Up |
4.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Canihaveitlikethat |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Fame Is Rough |
15.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Go Go Girolamo |
15.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Jule’s a Runner |
|
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Broadway Duchess |
2.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ben’s Little Cupid |
15.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
5 |
Lori’s Legacy |
2.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
7 |
6 |
Black Velvet |
12.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cooler Schedule |
15.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ice for That Burn |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
8 |
7 |
Amsalor |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ronan |
|
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
1 |
Get N Tipsy |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
3 |
La Negra Noche |
4.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
5 |
4 |
Chez Paree |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
5 |
Strong Mandy |
5.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
3 |
2 |
Seldom Seen Fire |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Angelcents |
|
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Hart Hills Road |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Donivan My Boy |
5.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Galahad Kid |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Suzdal |
2.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Saturdays Hangover |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Trumpified |
12.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
High Hero |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
3 |
Devil’s Rose |
2.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
7 |
6 |
Valiant Lady |
3.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
2 |
Nook |
4.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
5 |
Lu Sea |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Pure Blarney |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
5 |
4 |
Hal’s Mischief |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Blushing Bella |
|
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Danny B |
4.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Shakurr |
2.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Little Mighty Man |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Just Run |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Insane Lifestyle |
3.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Z U Soon |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ravens Reflection |
12.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Mr. Papillon |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sgt. Green |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Colonel Fred |
20.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Alpha Boy |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Flight Mission |
5.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
12 |
12 |
Mr Haney |
3.50 |
6 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Camalus |
6.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
All Strikes |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Stealthy Traveler |
30.00 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
Hero of Fire |
8.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
4 |
4 |
Hide the Evidence |
20.00 |
9.3 |
18-1 |
11 |
11 |
Pistol Box |
15.00 |
9.3 |
18-1 |
13 |
13 |
Garey Park |
|
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
7 |
Baba Tobi |
4.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Battle N Away |
2.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
9 |
8 |
Prince Arlo |
20.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
7 |
6 |
Prairie Chief |
2.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ghost Position |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
6 |
5 |
Rock Can Tour |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
5 |
4 |
French Minded |
5.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Changn Fivehundred |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Magician’s Bags |
|
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.