May 25, 2019 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Karak | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | No Nay Maybe (IRE) | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Now Is | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6A | 5 | Apollo’s Abraxas | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lucky E | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2A | 1 | Vroom Vroom Vrio | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Lil Morning Star | SCRATCH | |||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tale of Mist | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Thunder’s Honor | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flatexcel | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Giant Boo Boo | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Thefinalcrazydude | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Proximate to Power | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Wisecrack | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bustin Mach Four | 1.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Suremoney | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Freudian Analyst | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Blue Skies Forever | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sayhellotomylilfrn | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sider On Da Mound | SCRATCH | |||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Laura’s Patriot | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Grand Banks | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Eight Minute Ellie | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hand Rail | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sundrenched | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shak’s Hidden Gem | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Needs No Ice | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Trouble for Skylar | 1.20 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Excess Capacity | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7A | 7 | Sheza Diva | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Madame Barbarian | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ruvies in Time | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5A | 5 | Jazzy J | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Meadow Mist | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Chelsea Cloisters | 2.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Stellar Agent | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mentality | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Positive Skew | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Moravia (GB) | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Brooke Marie | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Carrera Cat | SCRATCH | |||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Fight Night | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Linda’s Ballet | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cape Cod Diva | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fetching | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Plink Freud | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blitchton Lady | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Gunboat Diplomacy | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Happy Music | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Riot | 12.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sandra’s Mine | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Summer Fantasy | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vitanza | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Lady Macho | SCRATCH | |||
| 13 | 13 | Lough Na Mona | SCRATCH | |||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tossup | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bank Examiner | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ratajkowski | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aggravation | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bourbon High | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lookbothways | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Doll | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Appletini | SCRATCH | |||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Paradise Creek S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Pole Setter | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mucho | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Strike Silver | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Uncapped | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fog of War | 1.60 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ian Glass | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Pulsate | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dunph | SCRATCH | |||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Commute | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Pagliacci | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Battle Station | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | End Play | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dr. Shane | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Mai Ty One On | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Spring to the Sky | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Spectrolite | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Final Frontier | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fig Jelly | SCRATCH | |||
| 10 | 10 | Like What I See | SCRATCH | |||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.