May 25, 2019 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Voluptuous | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Goddess of Kip | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Edisto Island | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Wayaway | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Have the Facts | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chosen Facts | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Molager | SCRATCH | |||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cockalorum | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jackfruit | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Crossfire | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Peppermint Crunch | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | First Masamune | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Captain Carnegie | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Roul the Ice | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Macho Alpha | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Magician’s Bags | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Richiesonarampage | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Country Cool | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Snallygaster | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pleasant Street | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Assaulter | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hellofaguy | SCRATCH | |||
| 8 | 8 | Buck Snort | SCRATCH | |||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Smoke ‘n’ Gloat | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Archiemyboy | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Midnight Blue Note | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | What’s Up Dude | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Go Oshie Go | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Our Thomas | 1.60 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Changi | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Tannah’blu | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Midnight Sway | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lemon Gal | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Cholla | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Luna Fortis | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Paulette | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sister Alexa | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lavina | SCRATCH | |||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Lady Furbein | 1.40 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Queens Day Victory | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Izzy | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Glen’s My Friend | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | No Smokin Here | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Emmastwinklingstar | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pretty Sweet Chic | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chestfuloftreasure | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Half of Manhattan | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Ahoymycaptain | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 5 | All Call | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Romeo O Romeo | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Maligator | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Golden Dart | SCRATCH | |||
| 5 | 5 | Of Note | SCRATCH | |||
| 3 | 3 | Miracle Mountain | SCRATCH | |||
| 9 | 9 | Giacallure | SCRATCH | |||
| 12 | 12 | Summer Castle | SCRATCH | |||
| 8 | 8 | Cadet Captain | SCRATCH | |||
| 13 | 13 | Suspenders | SCRATCH | |||
| 6 | 6 | Fleetway | SCRATCH | |||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lightscameraaction | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | City Diva | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gray Owl | 1.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | W W Fitzy | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sky Freak | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Indigo Gin | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Agi’s Cait | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Russian Mafia | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 8 | Talking Zip | 5.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Off to the Beach | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Johnny Chadda | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Dark Ninja | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Musical Interest | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | McLance | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tak | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tio Chuy | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Prince Abubu | SCRATCH | |||
| 6 | 6 | Gusano | SCRATCH | |||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.