May 24, 2019 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Alex’s Strike | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Knockyourblockoff | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Carrymeon | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Canary Islands | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Rustic Rick | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Tommytoshort | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Manipulater | SCRATCH | |||
| 1 | 1 | The Remainder | SCRATCH | |||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Darlin Rosie | 1.40 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tinderella | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Prairie Chick | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Partay | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Spender | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Rhapsody | SCRATCH | |||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Odachi | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cooper’s Keeper | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Case Cracker | 1.40 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ghost Train | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Buch of Daisies | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Away She Glows | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Peppermint Ice | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Molager | SCRATCH | |||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Jeff the Lion | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bourbon Tan | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Swope | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hero Tiger | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Yourdecisionotmine | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Betwithbothhands | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lero Lero | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Trace | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Treasure in Heaven | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Token Vow | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Viola Marie | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Meeka | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Neuqua | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mischievious Lass | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Wildwood Scat | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Back Page Star | SCRATCH | |||
| 7 | 7 | Logi | SCRATCH | |||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Silent Fame | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Majestic Hero | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | J Z’s Last Try | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Broad Blue Line | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Itching for Attack | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Turnagain | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Drama Star | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bartbaalu | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Round Hill | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ed’s Rocket | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Enchanted Rambam | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lee’s Luck | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ferlin Husky | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Carmelo | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sacramento Q | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | New Atlas | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Magician’s Bags | SCRATCH | |||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tims Hope | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Contraction | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Marvelous Sky | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Party On Dude | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Codetowin | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Red Prince | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Quite a Bit | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Blackhawk Warrior | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fern | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lucky Benny | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Touch of Disney | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | New Dancer | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Examiner | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Spectacular Road | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tringale | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Striking Heir | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Match Play | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blue Steel | SCRATCH | |||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.