May 23, 2019 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Say It Softly | 1.20 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Little Bones | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spunky Town | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cat Waltz | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Perfect Beauty | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Violent Fit | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Memory Taker | 1.20 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Webbs Creek Ferry | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Junior Spradlin | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Smokin Indy Wind | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kip Seven | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gotta B Scrappy | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lookie Loo | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Papa Rizzo | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Haulin’ Freight | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fearless Kitty | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ameripoint | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Major Mingo | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Plum Gorgeous | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Unprovoked | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Arkansas Alley | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Easter Indy | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | She’s a Lucky One | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Remarkable Charm | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Guska Mon Shoes | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Never Give In | 1.60 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Guy Ian | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Serengeti | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Plumbago | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Joan’s Delight | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Fairwayngreen | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Three Chords | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Tatum | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Violation | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Parade of Roses | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jackson Hill | SCRATCH | |||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mizz Fabulous | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bossy Em | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Run With the Brave | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stella Marie | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Glitzy Lady | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sister Lisa | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gold Maker | SCRATCH | |||
| 8 | 8 | Edgy Redhead | SCRATCH | |||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Prairie Rose S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Puntsville | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shanghai Tariff | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lake Ponchatrain | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | No Mercy Percy | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Natalie’s Mischief | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Annathela | SCRATCH | |||
| 6 | 6 | Pretty Greeley | SCRATCH | |||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Moto Moto | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | French Dancer | 1.20 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Name That Verse | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Horsefeathers | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Scooter’s Boy | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sequence | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Run Away Flash | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.