May 21, 2019 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Untouchable U | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dancing Cool | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Iwishirish | 1.40 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Our First Candy | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cincy Belle | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | She’s Running Free | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cheri’s Win | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Da Wildcat Girl | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lou’s Chardonnay | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mettemarlamelva | 0.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I’m Thirsty | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Backyard Boogie | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Turko Treat | 1.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | She’smyrisenstar | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Harbour Way | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sidereal | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | True Upgrade | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Irish Jonah | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Thatta Boy Girl | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | One Tough Angel | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Marnesia Big Girl | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rio Vista | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sandy Mischief | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hy Rapid Lady | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Meeting | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Promised Storm | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Discreet Sister | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Friday Mass | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Somethingfancy | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Lion and the Wolf | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Moon Chant | SCRATCH | |||
| 2 | 2 | Miss Tschetter | SCRATCH | |||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 1 | Halite | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gilded Warrior | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bostaleto | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Seat of Honor | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Spring Emperor | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Flight Risk | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | O’Kram | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Diamond Setter | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Team Ribot | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 10A | 10 | Cowboy Night | SCRATCH | |||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Group Text | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hey Mamaluke | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Isabella Smile | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Awesome Alaina | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stifling | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Grandma Gertie | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 8 | Love Is Your Name | 1.60 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Honor and Courage | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Danny O | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Midnight Harbor | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Barcode | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Risque Rebel | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Undeniable Temper | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mead Hall | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Infuriated | SCRATCH | |||
| 4 | 4 | Chill Factor | SCRATCH | |||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Parx Spring Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Thiscatcanjump | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bethlehem Road | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mount Travers | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fix Me a Sandwich | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Whistling Birds | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | War Tocsin | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Frost’s Song | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tricky Gamble | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Lover Boy | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bob in Our Midst | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Anxious | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Game Changer | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Peter G. Fox | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.