May 23, 2019 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Kiawah Sunset | 1.40 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Main Squeeze | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Days of Spring | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Seayouathebreakers | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Fatima | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Morality Clause | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Good Shabbos | SCRATCH | |||
| 5 | 5 | Talk You Out of It | SCRATCH | |||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | First Forever | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Saratoga Style | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Homemade | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mary’s Girl | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Infatuation | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Three Birds | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flat Out Funky | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Queen Kahen | 1.40 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | It’s a Shaw Thing | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bizness Beauty | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Forbidden Frolic | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | G. T. Sonia | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Know Point Given | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Adhafera | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Vincento | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Il Primo Sole (GB) | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5A | 5 | Unleveraged | 1.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mintz | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Financial System | 1.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Leaveematthegate | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Yamano Maker (JPN) | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hoboe | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | King Cause | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Orbed | SCRATCH | |||
| 11 | 11 | Sea Foam | SCRATCH | |||
| 9 | 9 | Storm Prophet | SCRATCH | |||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Zipman | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Into the Breach | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bronxville | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Coolboy | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Indigestion | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | No No Noah | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grassetto | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Thenorthremembers | SCRATCH | |||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Where’s Rudy | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Belgrano | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zap Daddy | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | All Go | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Willing to Speed | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bootlegger (FR) | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Letterman | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hero’s Welcome | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Herecomesyourman | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rohrbacher | SCRATCH | |||
| 5 | 5 | Stock Trade | SCRATCH | |||
| 6 | 6 | Bad Guy | SCRATCH | |||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Morelikelythannot | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Decorating | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dyna Passer | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Beau Belle | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Another Day of Sun | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Monhegan | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | To a Friend | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Team Win | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Midnight Party | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Inspector Havers | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Timber Ghost | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Preservationist | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bon Raison | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Expert | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hit It Once More | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Super Dude | SCRATCH | |||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Samadi Sky | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Crocheron Kid | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Catch a Cab | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Toohottoevenspeak | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Francis Freud | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mobridge | 1.60 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7B | 7 | Cause I’m Alex | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3B | 3 | You Tell Me | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Peculiar Sensation | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Snake Oil Charlie | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 11A | 11 | Tiz a Chance | SCRATCH | |||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.