Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, May 23, 2019

May 23, 2019 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Kiawah Sunset 1.40 2.5 5-1
8 8 Main Squeeze 2.50 2.7 5-1
4 4 Days of Spring 4.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Seayouathebreakers 8.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Lady Fatima 4.50 3.4 6-1
3 3 Morality Clause 12.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Good Shabbos SCRATCH
5 5 Talk You Out of It SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 First Forever 2.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Saratoga Style 2.50 2.1 4-1
3 3 Homemade 3.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Mary’s Girl 6.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Infatuation 15.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Three Birds 8.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Flat Out Funky 10.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Queen Kahen 1.40 1.6 3-1
5 5 It’s a Shaw Thing 3.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 Bizness Beauty 6.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Forbidden Frolic 2.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 G. T. Sonia 10.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Know Point Given 20.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Adhafera 12.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Vincento 12.00 3.3 6-1
10 10 Il Primo Sole (GB) 3.50 3.7 7-1
5A 5 Unleveraged 1.00 4 8-1
4 4 Mintz 10.00 4 8-1
3A 3 Financial System 1.00 4 8-1
7 7 Leaveematthegate 20.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Yamano Maker (JPN) 8.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Hoboe 5.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 King Cause 15.00 5 9-1
12 12 Orbed SCRATCH
11 11 Sea Foam SCRATCH
9 9 Storm Prophet SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Zipman 1.80 1.2 2-1
3 3 Into the Breach 2.50 2.6 5-1
6 6 Bronxville 3.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Coolboy 12.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Indigestion 12.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 No No Noah 20.00 5 9-1
1 1 Grassetto 20.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Thenorthremembers SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Where’s Rudy 4.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Belgrano 5.00 4 8-1
1 1 Zap Daddy 6.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 All Go 8.00 5 9-1
3 3 Willing to Speed 12.00 5 9-1
11 11 Bootlegger (FR) 6.00 5.1 10-1
12 12 Letterman 12.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Hero’s Welcome 15.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Herecomesyourman 8.00 5.4 10-1
10 10 Rohrbacher SCRATCH
5 5 Stock Trade SCRATCH
6 6 Bad Guy SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Morelikelythannot 4.00 3 6-1
2 2 Decorating 8.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Dyna Passer 3.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Beau Belle 6.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Another Day of Sun 12.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Monhegan 12.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 To a Friend 3.50 5.4 10-1
7 7 Team Win 15.00 6.6 12-1
10 10 Midnight Party 10.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Inspector Havers 20.00 8.9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Timber Ghost 4.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Preservationist 1.60 2.1 4-1
5 5 Bon Raison 3.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 Expert 2.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Hit It Once More 12.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Super Dude SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Samadi Sky 4.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 The Crocheron Kid 8.00 3 6-1
2A 2 Catch a Cab 3.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Toohottoevenspeak 10.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Francis Freud 30.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Mobridge 1.60 4.1 8-1
7B 7 Cause I’m Alex 8.00 4.3 8-1
3B 3 You Tell Me 8.00 5 9-1
9 9 Peculiar Sensation 15.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 Snake Oil Charlie 20.00 8.7 16-1
11A 11 Tiz a Chance SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.