May 19, 2019 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Bellize |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Claudelle |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Noble Goddess |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
La Shirimp |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Fabiolla (GB) |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
2 |
Moreisbetter |
2.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
10 |
5 |
Vangogo |
12.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
7 |
3 |
Flying to the Line |
8.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
5 |
1 |
Flying Flirt |
30.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
8 |
4 |
Stop Analyzing |
8.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
11 |
6 |
Acadia Fleet |
30.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
One Eighty |
1.60 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Rafal |
1.80 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mutineer |
5.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Westport |
2.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Passing |
12.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Oil Can Knight |
20.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Margo With a T |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
D K’s Crown |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Fore Left |
1.80 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Raging Whiskey |
3.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Phantom Boss |
2.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bobs Blues Man |
12.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Restoring Dreams |
8.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Twirling Derby |
20.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
9 |
7 |
Verb |
5.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Flammetta |
1.80 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Love and Peace (FR) |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Spend Spend Spend |
2.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Moon Kitty |
3.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Watch Me Burn |
6.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Littlefirefighter |
2.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Harper’s Gallop |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Gallantlystreaming (IRE) |
2.50 |
0.9 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Gadot |
3.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Savera |
5.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Cuyahoga Falls |
8.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Quite a Starlett |
10.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Second Avenue |
12.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Miss You Mother |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
My Gal Toots |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Sea’s Journey |
2.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Pig Iron |
4.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Perfect Tale |
3.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mighty Elijah |
8.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Calder Vale |
20.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Rocket Ship |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Tak’in the Red Eye |
10.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Zero Sum Game |
15.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Spectacular Music |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Kenjisstorm |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Accountability |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Full of Luck (CHI) |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Prince of Arabia |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Move Over (GB) |
5.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tequila Joe |
8.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Artie B Good |
5.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
9 |
9 |
Original Intent |
8.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Engram |
20.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Desert Stormer S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Selcourt |
1.40 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Smiling Tigress |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Show It N Moe It |
3.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Yuvetsi |
4.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Danuska’s My Girl |
1.60 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Tig Tog (IRE) |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Blueberry Princess |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Trustini |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Trappiza |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Sweet Connie Girl |
5.00 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
11 |
11 |
Whoa Nessie |
6.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Playa Chica |
6.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Watheeqa |
8.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sheza Factor |
15.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Perfect Ice Storm |
20.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Miss Bennet |
15.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.